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Super League

Referee: L Fähndrich

Winterthur

S T S T T

0–2

Full-time

Basel

U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 32%

18%

46%

Points per game

0,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

64%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,1

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,48 xG 2,16

35% Possession 65%

7 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 12. · Basel 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	29	14	9	6	+10	+0.8	51
2	Basel	28	13	7	8	+26	+17.0	46
3	Young Boys	29	13	7	9	+10	+11.3	46
4	Lugano	29	13	6	10	+3	+7.6	45
5	Luzern	28	12	8	8	+5	+5.7	44
6	Zurich	28	12	6	10	+0	-5.1	42
7	Lausanne	28	11	7	10	+8	+7.6	40
8	St. Gallen	29	10	9	10	+1	-5.4	39
9	Sion	29	9	8	12	-6	+1.9	35
10	Yverdon	29	8	8	13	-16	-14.2	32
11	Grasshoppers	28	5	12	11	-11	-9.5	27
12	Winterthur	28	5	5	18	-30	-17.7	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	15	10	3	2	+18	+8.6	33
2	Lugano	16	9	3	4	+6	+10.1	30
3	Luzern	14	8	3	3	+8	+9.0	27
4	Lausanne	14	8	2	4	+12	+9.4	26
5	Basel	14	8	2	4	+12	+14.9	26
6	Servette	14	7	5	2	+6	+5.0	26
7	St. Gallen	14	6	6	2	+9	+4.8	24
8	Sion	14	6	6	2	+9	+11.5	24
9	Zurich	15	6	4	5	+0	-2.2	22
10	Yverdon	14	6	3	5	-1	-2.8	21
11	Winterthur	13	5	1	7	-7	-3.1	16
12	Grasshoppers	14	2	8	4	-3	+4.3	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	15	7	4	4	+4	-4.2	25
2	Basel	14	5	5	4	+14	+2.1	20
3	Zurich	13	6	2	5	+0	-2.9	20
4	Luzern	14	4	5	5	-3	-3.3	17
5	Lugano	13	4	3	6	-3	-2.5	15
6	St. Gallen	15	4	3	8	-8	-10.2	15
7	Lausanne	14	3	5	6	-4	-1.8	14
8	Young Boys	14	3	4	7	-8	+2.7	13
9	Grasshoppers	14	3	4	7	-8	-13.8	13
10	Yverdon	15	2	5	8	-15	-11.4	11
11	Sion	15	3	2	10	-15	-9.6	11
12	Winterthur	15	0	4	11	-23	-14.6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.