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Bundesliga
Referee: J Spurny
Tirol
U S S T U
2–3
Full-time
LASK
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol LASK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 45%
42%
47%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
74%
47%
Both score Ø 71%
68%
74%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

34% Possession 66%
8 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 6. · LASK 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 19 15 3 1 +32 48
2 Sturm Graz 20 12 6 2 +18 42
3 LASK 19 9 7 3 +11 34
4 Austria Vienna 20 9 5 6 +6 32
5 SK Rapid 19 9 3 7 +10 30
6 Tirol 19 8 4 7 +0 28
7 A. Klagenfurt 19 7 3 9 -7 24
8 A. Lustenau 20 5 6 9 -11 21
9 Wolfsberger AC 20 6 2 12 -5 20
10 Hartberg 20 5 2 13 -19 17
11 Altach 19 4 4 11 -18 16
12 Ried 20 3 5 12 -17 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Sep -22 LASK – Tirol 1–4 23. May -22 Tirol – LASK 2–1 26. Apr -22 Tirol – LASK 4–0 13. Mar -22 LASK – Tirol 6–0 7. Nov -21 LASK – Tirol 3–0

Match report

Tirol LASK
Felix Bacher 🟨
16′
22′
⚽ I. Mustapha 0–1
S. Horvath
34′
⚽ K. Nakamura 0–2
I. Mustapha
1–2 J. Forst ⚽
S. Ogrinec
45′
Half-time 2–2
2–2 V. Müller ⚽
K. Schulz
46′
Felix Bacher 🟨
54′
Felix Bacher 🟥
54′
K. Bauernfeind 🔁
↦ J. Ertlthaler
57′
Sandi Ogrinec 🟨
62′
62′
🔁 P. Wiesinger
↦ P. Ziereis
T. Prica 🔁
↦ J. Forst
64′
77′
🔁 P. Michorl
↦ S. Horvath
77′
🔁 F. Flecker
↦ I. Mustapha
J. Naschberger 🔁
↦ S. Ogrinec
90′
90′
🔁 A. Taoui
↦ M. Usor
91′
⚽ R. Žulj 2–3
K. Nakamura
92′
🟨 Felix Luckeneder
92′
ℹ️ Robert Žulj
VAR: Goal confirmed
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Tirol

4-3-2-1
25 F. Oswald G
14 A. Ranacher D
5 F. Bacher D
26 D. Štumberger D
44 K. Schulz D
6 L. Sulzbacher M
4 V. Müller M
77 J. Ertlthaler M
21 Ž. Rogelj M
98 S. Ogrinec M
19 J. Forst F
Bench (7)
8 K. Bauernfeind
33 T. Prica
17 J. Naschberger
28 T. Geris
20 C. Üstündag
27 D. Jaunegg
13 B. Ozegovic

Coach: T. Silberberger

LASK

4-2-3-1
24 T. Lawal G
22 F. Stojković D
5 P. Ziereis D
33 F. Luckeneder D
19 M. Potzmann D
18 B. Jovičić M
30 S. Horvath M
17 M. Usor M
10 R. Žulj M
38 K. Nakamura M
23 I. Mustapha F
Bench (7)
6 P. Wiesinger
8 P. Michorl
29 F. Flecker
44 A. Taoui
43 N. Čelić
37 L. Jungwirth
27 T. Goiginger

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Spurny · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.