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Premiership

Referee: R Lee

Hearts

T S U U U

2–1

Full-time

ST Johnstone

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts ST Johnstone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,71 xG 1,16

47% Possession 53%

16 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 5. · ST Johnstone 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+5	+6.9	6
2	Dundee	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.1	6
3	St Mirren	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
4	Motherwell	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
5	Hearts	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.2	3
6	ST Johnstone	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
7	Hibernian	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
8	Aberdeen	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.2	3
9	Rangers	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.1	1
10	Falkirk	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.4	1
11	Dundee United	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.8	1
12	Kilmarnock	2	0	0	2	-5	-5.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
2	Dundee	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
3	ST Johnstone	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
4	Aberdeen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
5	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.1	3
6	St Mirren	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Motherwell	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	Dundee United	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.3	1
9	Hibernian	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Rangers	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
11	Falkirk	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
12	Kilmarnock	1	0	0	1	-4	-4.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+4	+4.8	3
2	St Mirren	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
3	Dundee	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.6	3
4	Motherwell	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Hibernian	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
6	Rangers	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
7	Falkirk	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
8	Kilmarnock	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
9	Hearts	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
10	ST Johnstone	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
11	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
12	Dundee United	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.