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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Hearts
T T T T T
4–0
Full-time
Dundee United
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,09 xG 0,54
42% Possession 58%
12 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 10. · Dundee United 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 2 2 0 0 +5 +6.9 6
2 St Mirren 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.2 6
3 Dundee 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.6 3
4 Motherwell 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
5 ST Johnstone 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.9 3
6 Aberdeen 2 1 0 1 -1 -0.2 3
7 Dundee United 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
8 Rangers 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
9 Hibernian 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.2 0
10 Hearts 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.3 0
11 Falkirk 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.9 0
12 Kilmarnock 2 0 0 2 -5 -5.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Dundee United
1–0 T. Renaud
C. Braga
4′
Jamie McCart ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
10′
11′
🟨 Daniel Bennie
2–0 C. Miller
12′
Amadou Ba-Sy 🟨
19′
43′
🟨 Lachlan Rose
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Z. Sapsford
↦ E. Agyei
3–0 C. Braga
S. Kerjota
56′
60′
🔁 M. Merghem
↦ D. Bennie
60′
🔁 I. Metsoko
↦ L. Rose
T. Magnusson 🔁
↦ T. Renaud
64′
P. Kabore 🔁
↦ A. Ba-Sy
64′
4–0 J. McPake
C. Braga
67′
C. Borchgrevink 🔁
↦ J. Altena
73′
R. Mato 🔁
↦ J. McPake
73′
73′
🔁 N. Farrugia
↦ J. Randall
73′
🔁 P. Camara
↦ V. Sevelj
J. Wilson 🔁
↦ C. Braga
84′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 B. Reus G
23 J. Altena D
6 O. McEntee D
5 J. McCart D
7 C. Miller D
16 B. Spittal M
12 T. Renaud M
29 S. Kerjota M
10 C. Braga M
15 J. McPake M
77 A. Ba-Sy F
Bench (9)
30 R. Fulton
22 T. Magnusson
11 P. Kabore
2 C. Borchgrevink
19 S. Guendouz
74 R. Mato
21 J. Wilson
78 L. Mendy
24 M. Kamara

Coach: Wouter Vrancken

Dundee United

4-3-3
1 J. Walton G
23 J. Rawlins D
3 B. Esselink D
18 M. Forbes D
11 W. Ferry D
5 V. Sevelj M
10 D. Tait M
12 E. Agyei M
21 J. Randall F
15 L. Rose F
77 D. Bennie F
Bench (9)
30 J. Amissah
20 N. Farrugia
8 P. Camara
6 R. Graham
9 Z. Sapsford
14 J. Eskesen
7 M. Merghem
4 I. Iovu
93 I. Metsoko

Coach: Jim Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,61
U
4,00
B
4,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.