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Europa League
Referee: S van der Eijk
Hearts
T T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Benfica
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,0
4,5
Scored
1,2
3,2
Conceded
2,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
7,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
6,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-5,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -26 Benfica – Hearts 6–1

Match report

Hearts Benfica
C. Braga 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Araujo
↦ C. Lenglet
C. Miller ℹ️
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
54′
T. Magnusson 🔁
↦ T. Renaud
64′
64′
🔁 L. Barreiro
↦ E. Barrenechea
64′
🔁 G. Prestianni
↦ G. Sudakov
S. Kerjota 🔁
↦ S. Guendouz
75′
J. Wilson 🔁
↦ C. Miller
75′
P. Kabore 🔁
↦ C. Braga
76′
1–0 T. Magnusson ⚽
77′
78′
⚽ D. Lukebakio 1–1
J. Neto
79′
🔁 J. Kaminski
↦ D. Lukebakio
79′
🔁 Rafa Silva
↦ A. Schjelderup
M. Kamara 🔁
↦ O. McEntee
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hearts

1 B. Reus
23 J. Altena
6 O. McEntee
17 S. Findlay
5 J. McCart
16 B. Spittal
12 T. Renaud
7 C. Miller
19 S. Guendouz
15 J. McPake
10 C. Braga
Bench (8)
30 R. Fulton
39 M. Gillies
24 M. Kamara
22 T. Magnusson
29 S. Kerjota
11 P. Kabore
77 A. Ba-Sy
21 J. Wilson

Coach: Wouter Vrancken

Benfica

24 S. Soares
17 A. Dedic
16 Manu
2 C. Lenglet
62 J. Neto
20 R. Rios
5 E. Barrenechea
11 D. Lukebakio
10 G. Sudakov
21 A. Schjelderup
22 J. Duran
Bench (12)
1 A. Trubin
58 D. Banjaqui
6 A. Bah
44 T. Araujo
18 L. Barreiro
13 J. Kaminski
33 Gabriel Indio
26 S. Dahl
73 M. Figueiredo
25 G. Prestianni
27 Rafa Silva
14 V. Pavlidis

Coach: Marco Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.