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Premiership
Referee: I Snedden
ST Johnstone
T U U U S
0–1
Full-time
Hearts
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Premiership · 23/24 matches
Win Ø 40%
22%
58%
Points per game
1,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
26%
38%
Both score Ø 39%
39%
38%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 10. · Hearts 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 24 18 4 2 +39 58
2 Rangers 24 19 1 4 +38 58
3 Hearts 24 14 3 7 +10 45
4 Kilmarnock 24 8 9 7 +1 33
5 St Mirren 24 9 5 10 -2 32
6 Dundee 22 6 8 8 -5 26
7 Hibernian 23 6 8 9 -9 26
8 Motherwell 24 5 10 9 -4 25
9 Aberdeen 23 6 7 10 -10 25
10 ST Johnstone 23 5 9 9 -13 24
11 Ross County 23 4 7 12 -19 19
12 Livingston 24 2 7 15 -26 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Nov -23 Hearts – ST Johnstone 1–0 5. Aug -23 ST Johnstone – Hearts 0–2 4. Mar -23 Hearts – ST Johnstone 3–0 28. Dec -22 ST Johnstone – Hearts 2–3 28. Aug -22 Hearts – ST Johnstone 3–2

Match report

ST Johnstone Hearts
Luke Robinson 🟨
16′
Half-time 0–0
S. Sprangler 🔁
↦ F. Franczak
46′
Andy Considine 🟨
52′
54′
⚽ L. Shankland 0–1
F. Kent
A. Sidibeh 🔁
↦ T. Gallacher
65′
N. Clark 🔁
↦ B. Mbunga Kimpioka
65′
Ryan McGowan 🟨
75′
75′
🔁 C. Halkett
↦ S. Kingsley
79′
🟨 Kenneth Vargas
83′
🔁 J. Grant
↦ K. Vargas
83′
🔁 Y. Oda
↦ S. Fraser
D. Jaiyesimi 🔁
↦ C. Smith
84′
Diallang Jaiyesimi 🟨
96′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

4-5-1
1 D. Mitov G
17 O. Olufunwa D
5 R. McGowan D
4 A. Considine D
19 L. Robinson D
46 F. Franczak
50 C. Smith M
11 G. Carey M
15 M. Kucheriavyi M
3 T. Gallacher M
29 B. Mbunga Kimpioka F
Bench (8)
23 S. Sprangler
16 A. Sidibeh
10 N. Clark
13 D. Jaiyesimi
31 D. Richards
7 S. May
35 K. Smith
9 C. Kane

Coach: C. Levein

Hearts

4-2-3-1
28 Z. Clark G
81 D. Lembikisa D
2 F. Kent D
3 S. Kingsley D
19 A. Cochrane D
8 C. Nieuwenhof M
6 B. Baningime M
77 K. Vargas M
29 S. Fraser M
17 A. Forrest M
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
4 C. Halkett
7 J. Grant
11 Y. Oda
30 K. Tagawa
21 T. Sibbick
1 C. Gordon
14 C. Devlin
22 A. Denholm
25 M. Tait

Coach: S. Naismith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,76
🔒
U
3,36
🔒
B ✓
2,00
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,16
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,67
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Snedden · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.