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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Hearts
U S T T U
2–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 21%
18%
24%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
47%
65%
Both score Ø 56%
59%
53%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 12. · ST Johnstone 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 16 14 2 0 +40 44
2 Rangers 16 11 2 3 +19 35
3 Aberdeen 17 10 4 3 +10 34
4 Motherwell 17 8 2 7 -4 26
5 Dundee United 17 6 7 4 +6 25
6 St Mirren 18 7 3 8 -5 24
7 Dundee 17 5 4 8 -3 19
8 Hibernian 18 4 6 8 -6 18
9 Kilmarnock 18 4 6 8 -16 18
10 Ross County 18 3 6 9 -21 15
11 ST Johnstone 17 4 2 11 -12 14
12 Hearts 17 3 4 10 -8 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts ST Johnstone
1–0 J. Penrice
A. Forrester
16′
James Wilson ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
39′
Cameron Devlin 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Carey
↦ A. Raymond
51′
ℹ️ Aaron Essel
VAR: Penalty confirmed
53′
G. Carey 1–1
2–1 B. Spittal
58′
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ M. Drammeh
61′
K. Vargas 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
80′
83′
🟨 Sven Sprangler
83′
🔁 D. Keltjens
↦ A. Essel
83′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ J. Holt
Kenneth Vargas 🟨
94′
L. Boyce 🔁
↦ L. Shankland
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hearts

4-4-2
1 C. Gordon G
35 A. Forrester D
5 D. Oyegoke D
15 K. Rowles D
29 J. Penrice D
37 M. Drammeh M
14 C. Devlin M
18 M. Boateng M
16 B. Spittal M
21 J. Wilson F
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
17 A. Forrest
77 K. Vargas
27 L. Boyce
28 Z. Clark
20 Y. Dhanda
4 C. Halkett
7 J. Grant
80 A. Salazar
25 M. Tait

Coach: N. Critchley

ST Johnstone

4-4-2
12 J. Rae G
15 A. Essel D
5 J. Sanders D
2 B. Mikulić D
3 A. Raymond D
14 D. Wright M
23 S. Sprangler M
7 J. Holt M
29 B. Kimpioka M
16 A. Sidibeh F
27 M. Kirk F
Bench (9)
11 G. Carey
33 D. Keltjens
22 M. Smith
20 R. Sinclair
46 F. Franczak
24 J. McPake
49 B. Dair
17 M. Kucheriavyi
52 A. Brookfield

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,57
U
4,11
B
5,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.