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Premiership

Referee: C Graham

Motherwell

T T T S S

1–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,3

This season — Premiership · 16/17 matches

Win Ø 37%

50%

24%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

81%

53%

Both score Ø 61%

69%

53%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,6

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%

4 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 8

5 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 4. · Kilmarnock 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	15	14	1	0	+40	43
2	Aberdeen	16	10	4	2	+12	34
3	Rangers	15	10	2	3	+18	32
4	Motherwell	16	8	1	7	-4	25
5	Dundee United	16	6	6	4	+6	24
6	St Mirren	17	6	3	8	-6	21
7	Dundee	16	5	4	7	-2	19
8	Kilmarnock	17	4	5	8	-16	17
9	Hibernian	17	3	6	8	-8	15
10	Ross County	17	3	6	8	-20	15
11	ST Johnstone	17	4	2	11	-12	14
12	Hearts	17	3	4	10	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	8	7	1	0	+18	22
2	Aberdeen	9	7	1	1	+10	22
3	Celtic	7	6	1	0	+19	19
4	Dundee United	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	St Mirren	9	4	2	3	+2	14
6	Dundee	8	4	1	3	+6	13
7	Motherwell	8	4	1	3	-2	13
8	Ross County	9	3	3	3	-1	12
9	Hibernian	9	2	4	3	+0	10
10	Hearts	8	2	3	3	+1	9
11	Kilmarnock	7	2	3	2	-3	9
12	ST Johnstone	8	2	0	6	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	8	8	0	0	+21	24
2	Aberdeen	7	3	3	1	+2	12
3	Motherwell	8	4	0	4	-2	12
4	Dundee United	8	2	4	2	+0	10
5	Rangers	7	3	1	3	+0	10
6	ST Johnstone	9	2	2	5	-5	8
7	Kilmarnock	10	2	2	6	-13	8
8	St Mirren	8	2	1	5	-8	7
9	Dundee	8	1	3	4	-8	6
10	Hibernian	8	1	2	5	-8	5
11	Hearts	9	1	1	7	-9	4
12	Ross County	8	0	3	5	-19	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.