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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Celtic
U U S S T
6–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 12/10 matches
Win Ø 57%
83%
30%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,4
Conceded
0,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

78% Possession 22%
21 Shots 3
10 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 0
2 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Aberdeen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 12 10 2 0 +21 32
2 Rangers 12 9 0 3 +20 27
3 St Mirren 12 5 4 3 +0 19
4 Hearts 12 5 2 5 +0 17
5 Dundee 12 4 5 3 -1 17
6 Kilmarnock 13 4 4 5 +0 16
7 Hibernian 13 3 6 4 -2 15
8 Aberdeen 10 3 3 4 +0 12
9 Motherwell 13 3 3 7 -6 12
10 ST Johnstone 12 2 5 5 -10 11
11 Ross County 12 2 4 6 -10 10
12 Livingston 13 2 4 7 -12 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celtic Aberdeen
1–0 Yang Hyun-Jun
L. Palma
9′
15′
🟨 Jonny Hayes
2–0 K. Furuhashi
M. O'Riley
16′
Half-time 2–0
51′
🟨 Slobodan Rubežić
Oh Hyeon-Gyu 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
52′
D. Turnbull 🔁
↦ O. Holm
53′
Hyun-gyu Oh ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
75′
76′
🟨 Kelle Roos
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
77′
3–0 L. Palma
77′
A. Bernabéi 🔁
↦ G. Taylor
78′
78′
🔁 R. Duncan
↦ D. Polvara
T. Iwata 🔁
↦ C. McGregor
81′
81′
🔁 C. Barron
↦ G. Shinnie
81′
🔁 Duk
↦ J. Hayes
4–0 D. Turnbull
L. Palma
92′
5–0 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
L. Palma
96′
6–0 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
M. O'Riley
99′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
15 O. Holm M
13 Yang Hyun-Jun F
8 K. Furuhashi F
7 L. Palma F
Bench (9)
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
14 D. Turnbull
49 J. Forrest
25 A. Bernabéi
24 T. Iwata
56 A. Ralston
29 S. Bain
6 N. Phillips
28 Paulo Bernardo

Coach: B. Rodgers

Aberdeen

5-4-1
24 K. Roos G
2 N. Devlin D
6 S. Gartenmann D
33 S. Rubežić D
5 R. Jensen D
3 J. MacKenzie D
21 D. Polvara M
10 L. Clarkson M
4 G. Shinnie M
17 J. Hayes M
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
23 R. Duncan
8 C. Barron
11 Duk
19 E. Sokler
27 A. MacDonald
14 P. Guèye
28 J. Milne
22 V. Besuijen
31 R. Doohan

Coach: B. Robson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
U
6,53
B
11,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,45
U2,5
2,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.