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Champions League
Referee: I Kružliak
Ath Madrid
S S U S T
6–0
Full-time
Celtic
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,05 xG 0,02
66% Possession 34%
27 Shots 1
12 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Oct -23 Celtic – Ath Madrid 2–2

Match report

Ath Madrid Celtic
1–0 A. Griezmann ⚽
6′
23′
🟥 Daizen Maeda
23′
ℹ️ Daizen Maeda
VAR: Card upgrade
36′
🟨 Luis Palma
Half-time 1–0
Marcos Llorente 🔁
↦ Pablo Barrios
46′
46′
🔁 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↦ L. Palma
46′
🔁 O. Holm
↦ M. ORiley
2–0 Álvaro Morata ⚽
J. Giménez
47′
3–0 A. Griezmann ⚽
60′
61′
🔁 D. Turnbull
↦ Paulo Bernardo
61′
🔁 Yang Hyun-Jun
↦ K. Furuhashi
Samuel Lino 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Riquelme
65′
Saúl 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
65′
4–0 Samuel Lino ⚽
Álvaro Morata
66′
César Azpilicueta 🔁
↦ N. Molina
71′
71′
🔁 T. Iwata
↦ C. McGregor
5–0 Álvaro Morata ⚽
Samuel Lino
76′
Ç. Söyüncü 🔁
↦ J. Giménez
77′
6–0 Saúl ⚽
Samuel Lino
84′
Çağlar Söyüncü 🟨
90′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

5-3-2
13 J. Oblak G
16 N. Molina D
20 A. Witsel D
2 J. Giménez D
22 Hermoso D
25 Rodrigo Riquelme D
24 Pablo Barrios M
6 Koke M
7 A. Griezmann M
10 Á. Correa F
19 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (9)
14 Marcos Llorente
12 Samuel Lino
8 Saúl
3 César Azpilicueta
4 Ç. Söyüncü
15 S. Savić
1 I. Grbić
31 Antonio Gomis
17 Javi Galán

Coach: D. Simeone

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
28 Paulo Bernardo M
38 D. Maeda F
8 K. Furuhashi F
7 L. Palma F
Bench (12)
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
15 O. Holm
14 D. Turnbull
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
24 T. Iwata
4 G. Lagerbielke
57 S. Welsh
29 S. Bain
6 N. Phillips
49 J. Forrest
90 M. Johnston
56 A. Ralston

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kružliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.