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Premiership

Referee: C Scott

ST Johnstone

T T U U T

2–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

This season — Premiership · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 15%

30%

Points per game

0,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

22%

50%

Both score Ø 41%

22%

60%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,3

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%

16 Shots 23

4 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 12

13 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match ST Johnstone 12. · Kilmarnock 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	10	8	2	0	+17	26
2	Rangers	10	7	0	3	+13	21
3	St Mirren	9	5	3	1	+5	18
4	Kilmarnock	10	3	4	3	+1	13
5	Dundee	9	2	5	2	-1	11
6	Motherwell	9	3	2	4	-2	11
7	Hearts	10	3	2	5	-2	11
8	Hibernian	11	2	5	4	-3	11
9	Ross County	10	2	4	4	-6	10
10	Livingston	10	2	4	4	-8	10
11	Aberdeen	9	2	3	4	-2	9
12	ST Johnstone	9	0	4	5	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	6	4	0	2	+7	12
2	Kilmarnock	6	3	2	1	+4	11
3	Celtic	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	St Mirren	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Motherwell	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Dundee	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Hibernian	6	1	3	2	+0	6
8	Hearts	5	1	2	2	-2	5
9	Livingston	5	1	2	2	-3	5
10	Aberdeen	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Ross County	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	ST Johnstone	4	0	2	2	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Rangers	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	St Mirren	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Hearts	5	2	0	3	+0	6
5	Ross County	6	1	3	2	-5	6
6	Dundee	5	1	2	2	-2	5
7	Aberdeen	5	1	2	2	-2	5
8	Hibernian	5	1	2	2	-3	5
9	Livingston	5	1	2	2	-5	5
10	Motherwell	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Kilmarnock	4	0	2	2	-3	2
12	ST Johnstone	5	0	2	3	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.