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Referee: P van Boekel

Den Bosch

S T

1–2

Full-time

Excelsior

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Bosch Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%

9 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RKAV Volendam	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	DEM	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Hercules	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
5	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Hoogeveen	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	-1	6
14	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	SJC Noordwijk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	TEC	3	1	1	1	-3	4
20	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
21	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
23	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
25	Blauw Geel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
26	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	GVV Unitas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Hoek	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Westlandia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	HVCH	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Olde Veste '54	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Barendrecht	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
56	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	DEM	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	RKAV Volendam	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
5	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	TEC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	SJC Noordwijk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
14	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	GVV Unitas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Westlandia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Ijsselmeervogels	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	-3	3
33	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
34	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	HVCH	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
2	Hercules	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	RKAV Volendam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	Olde Veste '54	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	HVCH	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Hoogeveen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
27	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	GVV Unitas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Eemdijk	1	0	0	1	-5	0
59	TEC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
60	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
61	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
62	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.