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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Kilmarnock
T T S T S
0–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 28%
26%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
46%
49%
Both score Ø 49%
46%
51%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 10. · ST Johnstone 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 35 31 2 2 +77 95
2 Rangers 35 27 4 4 +51 85
3 Aberdeen 36 17 3 16 -2 54
4 Hearts 36 15 7 14 +6 52
5 Hibernian 35 14 6 15 -2 48
6 St Mirren 35 12 9 14 -12 45
7 Motherwell 35 12 7 16 +0 43
8 Livingston 35 12 6 17 -23 42
9 ST Johnstone 35 10 6 19 -21 36
10 Kilmarnock 35 9 7 19 -29 34
11 Ross County 35 9 6 20 -20 33
12 Dundee United 35 8 7 20 -25 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Mar -23 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 1–1 29. Oct -22 ST Johnstone – Kilmarnock 1–0 5. Oct -22 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 2–1 30. Jan -21 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 2–3 6. Nov -20 ST Johnstone – Kilmarnock 1–0

Match report

Kilmarnock ST Johnstone
11′
⚽ L. Gordon 0–1
G. Carey
29′
🟨 Cameron Ballantyne
David Watson 🟥
44′
Half-time 0–1
Christian Doidge 🟨
47′
A. Power 🔁
↦ L. Donnelly
49′
B. Lyons 🔁
↦ J. Dorsett
62′
71′
🟨 Adam Montgomery
72′
🟨 Remi Matthews
76′
🔁 Z. Rudden
↦ S. May
I. Cameron 🔁
↦ C. Doidge
78′
Jordan Jones 🔁
↦ R. McKenzie
78′
87′
🔁 D. Wotherspoon
↦ Cammy Ballantyne
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-5-2
20 S. Walker G
2 L. Mayo D
19 J. Wright D
3 J. Dorsett D
11 D. Armstrong M
34 D. Watson M
24 L. Chambers M
22 L. Donnelly M
7 R. McKenzie M
26 C. Doidge F
23 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
4 A. Power
17 B. Lyons
27 I. Cameron
10 Jordan Jones
1 Z. Hemming
16 S. Robinson
31 L. Polworth
8 B. Alston
14 J. Sanders

Coach: D. McInnes

ST Johnstone

4-1-4-1
1 R. Matthews G
2 J. Brown D
6 L. Gordon D
4 A. Considine D
19 A. Montgomery D
13 R. McGowan M
14 D. Wright M
18 C. MacPherson M
25 Cammy Ballantyne M
23 G. Carey M
7 S. May F
Bench (9)
16 Z. Rudden
10 D. Wotherspoon
17 T. Bair
5 A. Mitchell
3 T. Gallacher
29 J. Murphy
26 C. McLennan
20 R. Sinclair
9 C. Kane

Coach: S. MacLean

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,05
🔒
U
3,34
🔒
B ✓
3,71
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,18
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,66
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.