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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
Kilmarnock
S T T U T
1–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 27%
21%
32%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
50%
61%
Both score Ø 52%
46%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 11. · ST Johnstone 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 28 26 1 1 +70 79
2 Rangers 29 23 4 2 +45 73
3 Hearts 28 13 6 9 +9 45
4 Hibernian 28 12 4 12 +1 40
5 Livingston 29 11 6 12 -13 39
6 Aberdeen 28 12 2 14 -9 38
7 St Mirren 28 10 7 11 -11 37
8 ST Johnstone 28 9 4 15 -15 31
9 Motherwell 29 8 6 15 -8 30
10 Ross County 29 6 6 17 -18 24
11 Kilmarnock 28 6 6 16 -27 24
12 Dundee United 28 5 6 17 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Oct -22 ST Johnstone – Kilmarnock 1–0 5. Oct -22 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 2–1 30. Jan -21 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 2–3 6. Nov -20 ST Johnstone – Kilmarnock 1–0 15. Aug -20 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 1–2

Match report

Kilmarnock ST Johnstone
37′
🟨 Drey Wright
1–0 J. Wright ⚽
Jordan Jones
38′
40′
🔁 C. McLennan
↦ J. Brown
44′
🟨 Melker Hallberg
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 Liam Gordon
62′
🔁 Z. Rudden
↦ T. Bair
62′
🔁 D. Wotherspoon
↦ G. Carey
63′
🟨 Cameron MacPherson
70′
⚽ D. Wright 1–1
Liam Donnelly 🟨
72′
Rory McKenzie 🟨
74′
S. Robinson 🔁
↦ C. Doidge
76′
79′
🟨 Andy Considine
David Watson 🟨
81′
A. Power 🔁
↦ L. Donnelly
85′
F. Murray 🔁
↦ Jordan Jones
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-5-2
20 S. Walker G
2 L. Mayo D
19 J. Wright D
3 J. Dorsett D
11 D. Armstrong M
34 D. Watson M
22 L. Donnelly M
7 R. McKenzie M
10 Jordan Jones M
26 C. Doidge F
23 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
16 S. Robinson
4 A. Power
15 F. Murray
5 A. Taylor
25 R. Alebiosu
1 Z. Hemming
8 B. Alston
24 L. Chambers
21 K. McInroy

Coach: D. McInnes

ST Johnstone

5-3-2
1 R. Matthews G
14 D. Wright D
5 A. Mitchell D
6 L. Gordon D
4 A. Considine D
2 J. Brown D
22 M. Hallberg M
18 C. MacPherson M
23 G. Carey M
7 S. May F
17 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
26 C. McLennan
16 Z. Rudden
10 D. Wotherspoon
13 R. McGowan
20 R. Sinclair
29 J. Murphy
3 T. Gallacher
25 Cammy Ballantyne
31 S. Moreland

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,17
🔒
U ✓
3,19
🔒
B
3,51
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,34
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,58
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.