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Belgisk cup
Referee: T Diskeuve
RWD Molenbeek
U T U U T
1–0
Full-time
Olympic Charleroi
T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RWD Molenbeek Olympic Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Onhaye 5 4 1 0 +15 13
2 Elene-Grotenberge 6 4 1 1 +1 13
3 Crossing Schaerbeek 5 4 0 1 +8 12
4 Meux 5 4 0 1 +7 12
5 Sint-Lenaarts 5 4 0 1 +3 12
6 Knokke 4 3 1 0 +6 10
7 RAS Monceau 4 3 1 0 +4 10
8 Harelbeke 4 3 1 0 +4 10
9 Racing Mechelen 4 3 0 1 +14 9
10 RAAL La Louviere 4 3 0 1 +10 9
11 Roeselare Daisel 3 3 0 0 +10 9
12 Sprimont 4 3 0 1 +6 9
13 Thes Sport 4 3 0 1 +5 9
14 Destelbergen 4 3 0 1 +4 9
15 Marloie Sport 4 3 0 1 +3 9
16 Ethe Belmont 4 3 0 1 +3 9
17 Ninove 4 3 0 1 +3 9
18 Tongeren 4 3 0 1 +2 9
19 URSL Visé 4 3 0 1 +2 9
20 Beaufays 4 3 0 1 -1 9
21 Montignies 4 3 0 1 -4 9
22 Habay-la-Neuve 5 2 2 1 +5 8
23 Esperanza Pelt 4 2 2 0 +3 8
24 Albert Quévy-Mons 4 2 1 1 +11 7
25 Oudenaarde 3 2 1 0 +9 7
26 Lokeren-Temse 3 2 1 0 +7 7
27 VW Hamme 4 2 1 1 +6 7
28 Sporting Tisselt 3 2 1 0 +5 7
29 Ostiches 3 2 1 0 +4 7
30 Landen 3 2 1 0 +3 7
31 Lauwe 3 2 1 0 +3 7
32 Achel 4 2 1 1 +2 7
33 Olympic Charleroi 3 2 1 0 +2 7
34 Herent 3 2 1 0 +2 7
35 Ster-Francorchamps 3 2 1 0 +2 7
36 Jodoigne 5 2 1 2 -5 7
37 Haasdonk 4 2 1 1 -6 7
38 Wezel 3 2 0 1 +11 6
39 RUS Binche 3 2 0 1 +10 6
40 Rebecq 3 2 0 1 +8 6
41 Oostende 2 2 0 0 +7 6
42 De Kempen 3 2 0 1 +6 6
43 Groen Star Beek 3 2 0 1 +6 6
44 Sottegem 3 2 0 1 +6 6
45 Biesme 3 2 0 1 +6 6
46 Péruwelz 3 2 0 1 +5 6
47 Warnant 3 2 0 1 +5 6
48 Beauraing 3 2 0 1 +4 6
49 Berchem Sport 3 2 0 1 +4 6
50 Merelbeke 3 2 0 1 +3 6
51 Wilrijk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
52 Diest 3 2 0 1 +3 6
53 Rupel Boom 3 2 0 1 +2 6
54 Antoing 3 2 0 1 +2 6
55 Antonia 3 2 0 1 +2 6
56 Wellen 3 2 0 1 +2 6
57 JS Fizoise 3 2 0 1 +1 6
58 's Gravenwezel-Schilde 3 2 0 1 +1 6
59 Eendracht Aalst 3 2 0 1 +1 6
60 Hamoir 3 2 0 1 -2 6
61 Stade Bierbeek 3 2 0 1 -9 6
62 Torpedo Hasselt 3 1 2 0 +14 5
63 Wolvertem Merchtem 3 1 2 0 +4 5
64 Genappe 3 1 2 0 +4 5
65 Ganshoren 4 1 2 1 -3 5
66 Zelzate 2 1 1 0 +7 4
67 Raeren-Eynatten 2 1 1 0 +4 4
68 Flavion-Morialmé 3 1 1 1 +4 4
69 Rochefort 3 1 1 1 +4 4
70 Aische 2 1 1 0 +4 4
71 Spouwen-Mopertingen 3 1 1 1 +3 4
72 Waregem 2 1 1 0 +3 4
73 Denderhoutem 2 1 1 0 +2 4
74 Hornu 2 1 1 0 +2 4
75 Entité Manageoise 2 1 1 0 +1 4
76 Houtvenne 2 1 1 0 +1 4
77 Wevelgem City 2 1 1 0 +1 4
78 Hannut 2 1 1 0 +1 4
79 Geel 2 1 1 0 +1 4
80 Sparta Heestert 2 1 1 0 +1 4
81 Wambeek-Ternat 2 1 1 0 +1 4
82 Zwijndrecht 2 1 1 0 +1 4
83 Dender 2 1 1 0 +1 4
84 Blankenberge 2 1 1 0 +1 4
85 SC Zonnebeke 2 1 1 0 +1 4
86 Verviers 2 1 1 0 +1 4
87 Walhain 2 1 1 0 +1 4
88 Villers-La-Ville 3 1 1 1 +0 4
89 KBSK Retie 3 1 1 1 +0 4
90 Wanze / Bas-Oha 3 1 1 1 -1 4
91 Spy 3 1 1 1 -1 4
92 Houdinois 3 1 1 1 -1 4
93 Hoogstraten 3 1 1 1 -1 4
94 Fortuna Smeermaas 3 1 1 1 -1 4
95 Eppegem 3 1 1 1 -2 4
96 Perwez 3 1 1 1 -2 4
97 Vlijtingen 3 1 1 1 -4 4
98 Braine 3 1 1 1 -4 4
99 BX Brussels 4 1 1 2 -5 4
100 Kalfort Puursica 3 1 1 1 -9 4
101 Richelle United 2 1 0 1 +6 3
102 Drongen 2 1 0 1 +5 3
103 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1 1 0 0 +5 3
104 Svelta Melsele II 2 1 0 1 +4 3
105 Acren-Lessines 2 1 0 1 +4 3
106 Rotselaar 2 1 0 1 +4 3
107 Eendracht Termien 2 1 0 1 +4 3
108 Beringen 2 1 0 1 +4 3
109 Genk 1 1 0 0 +4 3
110 Sporting Kampenhout 2 1 0 1 +3 3
111 Estaimbourg 2 1 0 1 +3 3
112 Turnhout 2 1 0 1 +3 3
113 Rhodienne-De Hoek 2 1 0 1 +3 3
114 Gouvy 2 1 0 1 +3 3
115 Antwerp 1 1 0 0 +3 3
116 Gilly 2 1 0 1 +3 3
117 Sint-Denijs Sport 2 1 0 1 +3 3
118 St Truiden 1 1 0 0 +3 3
119 Charleroi 1 1 0 0 +3 3
120 Oostkamp 2 1 0 1 +2 3
121 Dikkelvenne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
122 Saive 2 1 0 1 +2 3
123 K. Kontich 2 1 0 1 +2 3
124 Tournai 2 1 0 1 +2 3
125 Diegem Sport 2 1 0 1 +2 3
126 Flénu 2 1 0 1 +2 3
127 Eendracht Aalter 2 1 0 1 +2 3
128 Hades 2 1 0 1 +2 3
129 Gent 1 1 0 0 +2 3
130 KRC Gent 2 1 0 1 +2 3
131 DT Borsbeke 2 1 0 1 +1 3
132 Dessel Sport 2 1 0 1 +1 3
133 Kadijk Overpelt 2 1 0 1 +1 3
134 Sassport Boezinge 2 1 0 1 +1 3
135 Jette 2 1 0 1 +1 3
136 Berlare 2 1 0 1 +1 3
137 Pepingen-Halle 2 1 0 1 +1 3
138 Dottignies 2 1 0 1 +1 3
139 St. Gilloise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
140 Anderlecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
141 Beveren 1 1 0 0 +1 3
142 Malmundaria 2 1 0 1 +0 3
143 Wielsbeke 2 1 0 1 +0 3
144 Sparta Petegem 2 1 0 1 +0 3
145 Francs Borains 2 1 0 1 +0 3
146 Diksmuide 2 1 0 1 +0 3
147 Libramont 2 1 0 1 +0 3
148 K. Lierse S.K. 2 1 0 1 +0 3
149 Patro Eisden 2 1 0 1 +0 3
150 Ternesse 2 1 0 1 +0 3
151 HO Kalken 2 1 0 1 +0 3
152 Meix-Devant-Virton 2 1 0 1 +0 3
153 US Dinantaise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
154 Eendracht Maasmechelen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
155 Stockay-Warfusée 2 1 0 1 +0 3
156 Heusy Rouheid 2 1 0 1 -1 3
157 RFC Wetteren 2 1 0 1 -1 3
158 Paliseulois 2 1 0 1 -1 3
159 Olsa Brakel 2 1 0 1 -1 3
160 Alken 2 1 0 1 -1 3
161 Galmaarden 2 1 0 1 -1 3
162 Wallonne Ciney 2 1 0 1 -1 3
163 Ardennen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
164 Rumbeke 2 1 0 1 -1 3
165 Ardooie 2 1 0 1 -2 3
166 Longlier 2 1 0 1 -2 3
167 Lokeren Doorslaar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
168 FC Du Geer 2 1 0 1 -2 3
169 Grembergen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
170 Oostnieuwkerke 2 1 0 1 -2 3
171 Messancy 2 1 0 1 -3 3
172 WIK Eine 2 1 0 1 -3 3
173 Wijnegem 2 1 0 1 -3 3
174 Evelette-Jallet 2 1 0 1 -3 3
175 Roy-Lignieres 2 1 0 1 -3 3
176 Profondeville 2 1 0 1 -3 3
177 Ekeren Donk 2 1 0 1 -4 3
178 WSAC Fleurus 2 1 0 1 -4 3
179 Belœil 2 1 0 1 -5 3
180 Wanze / Bas-Oha II 2 1 0 1 -8 3
181 Anvaing 2 1 0 1 -9 3
182 Bocholt 2 0 2 0 +0 2
183 Excelsior Virton 3 0 2 1 -1 2
184 Erpe-Mere United 3 0 2 1 -2 2
185 Léopold 3 0 2 1 -2 2
186 RESC Houffaloise 3 0 2 1 -5 2
187 Sint-Dymphna 3 0 2 1 -5 2
188 Loyers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
189 Westhoek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
190 Beerschot VA 1 0 1 0 +0 1
191 Sterrebeek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
192 Cercle Brugge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
193 Condruzien 1 0 1 0 +0 1
194 Zepperen-Brustem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
195 Mormont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
196 Fenixx BeigHum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
197 Tienen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
198 Oppagne-Wéris 1 0 1 0 +0 1
199 Tubize 1 0 1 0 +0 1
200 Schoonbeek-Beverst 1 0 1 0 +0 1
201 Boutersem United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
202 Kortrijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
203 KSK Beveren 1 0 1 0 +0 1
204 Auderghem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
205 Jong Lede 1 0 1 0 +0 1
206 Cappellen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
207 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
208 Sint-Eloois-Winkel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
209 Mandel United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
210 Mechelen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
211 Deinze 1 0 1 0 +0 1
212 Sporting Bruxelles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
213 Zandhovense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
214 Ans Montegnée 1 0 1 0 +0 1
215 Luingnois II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
216 Petigny-Frasnes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
217 Schriek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
218 Bastogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
219 Kattenbos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
220 Saint-Michel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
221 's Herenelderen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
222 Zuun 1 0 1 0 +0 1
223 Betekom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
224 Voorde Appelterre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
225 Svelta Melsele 2 0 1 1 -1 1
226 City Pirates Antwerpen 2 0 1 1 -1 1
227 Veltem 2 0 1 1 -1 1
228 La Louvière Centre 2 0 1 1 -1 1
229 La Calamine 2 0 1 1 -1 1
230 Avanti 2 0 1 1 -1 1
231 FC Lebbeke 2 0 1 1 -1 1
232 PSV 1820 2 0 1 1 -1 1
233 Herk 2 0 1 1 -1 1
234 Aywaille 2 0 1 1 -1 1
235 Kosova Schaerbeek 2 0 1 1 -1 1
236 Grand-Leez 2 0 1 1 -2 1
237 Racing Waregem 2 0 1 1 -3 1
238 Isièroise 2 0 1 1 -4 1
239 Tempo Overijse 2 0 1 1 -5 1
240 Nieuwerkerken 2 0 1 1 -6 1
241 Verlaine 2 0 1 1 -6 1
242 Tielt-Winge 3000 2 0 1 1 -7 1
243 Richelle United II 2 0 1 1 -7 1
244 Croatia Wandre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
245 Saint-André Ochamps 1 0 0 1 -1 0
246 Gullegem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
247 Olympia Wijgmaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
248 Lille 1 0 0 1 -1 0
249 Varsenare 1 0 0 1 -1 0
250 Berg en Dal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
251 Ritterklub Jette 1 0 0 1 -1 0
252 Hoboken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
253 Eendracht Mazenzele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
254 Brasschaat 1 0 0 1 -1 0
255 Honsfeld 1 0 0 1 -1 0
256 Olen United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
257 SC Duffel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
258 Stade Verviers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
259 Nijlen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
260 Zwarte Leeuw 1 0 0 1 -1 0
261 Sporting Hasselt 1 0 0 1 -1 0
262 Eendracht Wervik 1 0 0 1 -1 0
263 Huy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
264 Witgoor Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
265 KFC Eksel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
266 RUS Assenois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
267 Meulebeke 1 0 0 1 -1 0
268 Heikant Zele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
269 Loenhout 1 0 0 1 -1 0
270 Bredene 1 0 0 1 -1 0
271 Entité Wasseiges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
272 Obigies 1 0 0 1 -1 0
273 Jong Zulte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
274 Molenbaix 1 0 0 1 -1 0
275 Linden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
276 Waremme 1 0 0 1 -1 0
277 Chevetogne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
278 Jeunesse Tamines 1 0 0 1 -1 0
279 Moen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
280 Herstal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
281 Meeuwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
282 Union La Calamine II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
283 Bütgenbach 1 0 0 1 -1 0
284 Saint-Josse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
285 Kleit Maldegem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
286 Meux II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
287 Thumaide 1 0 0 1 -1 0
288 Grün-Weiss Amel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
289 Daring Brugge 1 0 0 1 -2 0
290 Excelsior Zedelgem 1 0 0 1 -2 0
291 Heist 1 0 0 1 -2 0
292 Munkzwalm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
293 Volkegem 1 0 0 1 -2 0
294 Aubel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
295 Grez-Doiceau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
296 Lorraine Arlon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
297 Londerzeel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
298 Bellem 1 0 0 1 -2 0
299 Arquet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
300 Torhout 1 0 0 1 -2 0
301 Seraing United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
302 Meer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
303 Ruddervoorde II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
304 Couvin-Mariembourg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
305 Jeunesse Freylangeoise 1 0 0 1 -2 0
306 Poesele 1 0 0 1 -2 0
307 Rapid Symphorinois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
308 Stormvogels Drieslinter 1 0 0 1 -2 0
309 Eupen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
310 Liège 1 0 0 1 -2 0
311 Ixelles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
312 Herselt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
313 Genker 1 0 0 1 -2 0
314 Houthulst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
315 Lommel United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
316 Naastois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
317 RAC Saint-Mard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
318 Havré 1 0 0 1 -2 0
319 Fernelmont-Hemptinne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
320 Geluwe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
321 KMR Biesen II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
322 Elsautoise 1 0 0 1 -3 0
323 Zwaluwen Olmen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
324 Oreye Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
325 Seraing Athlétique 1 0 0 1 -3 0
326 Sint-Niklaas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
327 Nismes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
328 KFC Zammel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
329 RAEC Mons II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
330 Herkol 1 0 0 1 -3 0
331 Weerstand Koersel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
332 Eendracht Zoersel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
333 Halvenweg Zonhoven 1 0 0 1 -3 0
334 Morlanwelz 1 0 0 1 -4 0
335 FC Vilvoorde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
336 AEDEC Hyon 1 0 0 1 -4 0
337 Jumet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
338 Mortsel 1 0 0 1 -4 0
339 Voorwaarts Gijzel 1 0 0 1 -4 0
340 NSeth Berchem 1 0 0 1 -4 0
341 Newcastle United U21 1 0 0 1 -5 0
342 Etterbeek 1 0 0 1 -5 0
343 Vaux-Noville 1 0 0 1 -5 0
344 Zeveren Sportief 1 0 0 1 -6 0
345 SSD Opoeteren 1 0 0 1 -6 0
346 Union Namur 2 0 0 2 -7 0
347 Binkom 1 0 0 1 -7 0
348 Excelsior Mariakerke 1 0 0 1 -8 0
349 Eendracht Zele 1 0 0 1 -8 0
350 Eendracht Houthalen 1 0 0 1 -14 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.