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Copa del Rey
Referee: Javier Alberola
0–4
Full-time
Mallorca
U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boiro Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Buñol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Deportivo Murcia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Hernán Cortés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Antequera 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Elche 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Tardienta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Melilla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Cayón 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Alcorcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Boiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Lugo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Atlético Astorga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Valle Egüés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Arandina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Tudelano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Terrassa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
40 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
41 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
42 Zamora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Rubí 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Linares Deportivo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Cartagena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Orihuela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boiro Mallorca
25′
Abdón Prats 0–1
C. Larin
33′
Abdón Prats 0–2
E. Carril 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–3
46′
C. Larin 0–3
Pablo Maffeo
57′
🔁 D. Luna
↦ C. Larin
57′
🔁 David López
↦ Toni Lato
57′
🔁 G. González
↦ Pablo Maffeo
Juan Pérez 🔁
↦ Mario Barreiro
61′
Felipe Blanco 🔁
↦ Juanma Blanco
61′
Adrián Pereira 🔁
↦ Daniel Ferreiro
61′
Martin González 🔁
↦ Emilio Carril
66′
Diego Ramos 🔁
↦ Angelo
68′
76′
🔁 Pau Mascaró
↦ Rubén Quintanilla
76′
🔁 Antonio Sánchez
↦ Abdón Prats
76′
Abdón Prats 0–4
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Boiro

13 Mario Barreiro
2 Cesáreo Seoane
3 Pablo Vidal
18 Angelo
5 David Noya
4 Sera
6 Mario Romero
15 Emilio Carril
20 Daniel Ferreiro
21 Juanma Blanco
24 G. Santorum
Bench (9)
1 Juan Pérez
19 Felipe Blanco
10 Adrián Pereira
22 Martin González
23 Diego Ramos
7 Hugo Suárez
11 Mario Regueiro
17 Juan García
14 Mario Prol

Coach: Anxo Casalderrey

Mallorca

13 D. Greif
15 Pablo Maffeo
3 Toni Lato
4 S. Van der Heyden
6 Copete
8 Manu Morlanes
26 Rubén Quintanilla
9 Abdón Prats
17 C. Larin
23 A. Ndiaye
19 Javi Llabrés
Bench (11)
33 D. Luna
27 David López
20 G. González
34 Pau Mascaró
18 Antonio Sánchez
11 Jaume Costa
24 M. Valjent
5 Omar Mascarell
7 V. Muriqi
12 Samú Costa
25 Iván Cuéllar

Coach: J. Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.