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Copa del Rey
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
0–0
Full-time
Cartagena
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Buñol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Deportivo Murcia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Turégano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Hernán Cortés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Atlético Lugones 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Tardienta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Boiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Quintanar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Rubí 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
30 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
31 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
32 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Azuaga Cartagena
Half-time 0–0
Larry Opara 🔁
↦ Chepe
52′
58′
🔁 J. Narváez
↦ Jony
58′
🔁 Jairo Izquierdo
↦ Kiko Olivas
58′
🔁 Alfredo Ortuño
↦ L. de León
Gabi 🔁
↦ R. De Lillo
64′
Felipe Pires 🔁
↦ Pablo Mogollón
64′
66′
🟨 J. Alamo
70′
🔁 Iván Calero
↦ I. Jansson
76′
🔁 Luis Muñoz
↦ Jony Álamo
80′
🟨 L. Munoz
90′
🔁 David Ferreiro
↦ Iván Ayllón
Peter Kwabena 🔁
↦ Álvaro Garrido
105′
120′
🟨 J. Narvaez
Emilio 🔁
↦ Antonio Gómez
121′
1–0 Gabi
121′
122′
David Ferreiro
penalty missed
Carlos López
penalty missed
123′
124′
Luis Muñoz
penalty missed
2–0 Emilio
125′
126′
José Fontán 2–1
Larry Opara
penalty missed
127′
128′
D. Musto
penalty missed
Javier Sánchez
penalty missed
129′
130′
Alfredo Ortuño 2–2
Diego Domínguez
penalty missed
131′
132′
Gonzalo Verdú 2–3
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Azuaga

13 Joaquín González
17 Diego Domínguez
4 I. Mensah
3 Javier Sánchez
5 Antonio Gómez
10 Álvaro Garrido
14 Carlos López
8 Pablo Mogollón
16 J. Nkrumah
7 R. De Lillo
11 Chepe
Bench (9)
9 Larry Opara
19 Gabi
22 Felipe Pires
15 Peter Kwabena
2 Emilio
26 Juan Carlos
18 Josué Medina
27 Jaime Monterrubio
1 Peter Mbia

Coach: José Ramos

Cartagena

13 Raúl Lizoain
22 Kiko Olivas
5 Gonzalo Verdú
14 José Fontán
31 Carlos Sánchez
18 D. Musto
24 Jony
32 Jony Álamo
21 I. Jansson
29 L. de León
35 Iván Ayllón
Bench (11)
12 J. Narváez
20 Jairo Izquierdo
9 Alfredo Ortuño
16 Iván Calero
8 Luis Muñoz
7 David Ferreiro
19 Úmaro Embaló
4 Alcalá
11 Juan Carlos Real
1 Marc Martínez
23 T. Alarcón

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.