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Premiership
Referee: G Aitken
Kilmarnock
S U S T T
2–3
Full-time
ST Johnstone
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 24/25 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
20%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
33%
36%
Both score Ø 41%
38%
44%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 12
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 8. · ST Johnstone 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 26 23 3 0 +59 72
2 Celtic 23 14 7 2 +32 49
3 Aberdeen 24 12 7 5 +7 43
4 Hibernian 25 11 7 7 +8 40
5 Livingston 24 10 5 9 +3 35
6 Dundee United 25 6 10 9 -14 28
7 St Mirren 22 7 5 10 -4 26
8 Kilmarnock 24 7 3 14 -6 24
9 ST Johnstone 25 5 9 11 -11 24
10 Motherwell 24 5 7 12 -15 22
11 Ross County 26 5 5 16 -31 20
12 Hamilton 24 5 4 15 -28 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Nov -20 ST Johnstone – Kilmarnock 1–0 15. Aug -20 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 1–2 25. Jan -20 ST Johnstone – Kilmarnock 2–1 4. Dec -19 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 0–0 31. Aug -19 ST Johnstone – Kilmarnock 0–1

Match report

Kilmarnock ST Johnstone
1–0 C. Burke ⚽
N. Kabamba
5′
2–0 A. Tshibola ⚽
N. Kabamba
32′
Half-time 2–1
53′
⚽ G. Melamed 2–1
C. Kane
63′
🔁 S. May
↦ C. Kane
68′
⚽ M. Davidson 2–2
G. Melamed
72′
⚽ A. McCann 2–3
G. Melamed
Alan Power 🟨
76′
80′
🟨 Jamie McCart
83′
🔁 C. Conway
↦ G. Melamed
D. Whitehall 🔁
↦ G. Oakley
89′
89′
🔁 C. Bryson
↦ D. Wotherspoon
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
23 D. Rogers G
4 C. Dikamona D
22 R. Millen D
3 B. Haunstrup D
14 Z. Rossi D
29 C. Burke M
6 A. Power M
7 R. McKenzie M
27 A. Tshibola M
9 G. Oakley F
11 N. Kabamba F
Bench (8)
12 D. Whitehall
8 G. Dicker
16 C. Doyle
2 A. McGowan
19 M. Pinnock
26 D. Dabo
33 A. Taylor
32 T. Brindley

Coach: A. Dyer

ST Johnstone

3-4-3
1 Z. Clark G
3 S. Tanser M
19 S. Rooney M
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
5 J. Kerr D
8 M. Davidson M
10 D. Wotherspoon F
18 A. McCann M
17 G. Melamed F
9 C. Kane F
Bench (9)
14 S. May
7 C. Conway
13 C. Bryson
2 J. Brown
12 E. Parish
11 M. O'Halloran
24 C. Booth
16 G. Middleton
26 L. Craig

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,02
🔒
U
3,06
🔒
B ✓
2,47
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,30
🔒
U2,5
1,61
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Aitken · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.