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DBU Pokalen
Referee: M Kristoffersen
Viborg
S S T T U
2–3
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
7,0
4,0
Scored
4,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Viborg 36. · Nordsjaelland 56.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Helsingor 4 3 1 0 +8 10
2 Fredericia 3 3 0 0 +16 9
3 Ishøj 3 3 0 0 +9 9
4 AB Copenhagen 3 3 0 0 +3 9
5 Kolding IF 3 2 1 0 +22 7
6 B 93 3 2 1 0 +21 7
7 Lyngby 3 2 1 0 +4 7
8 Midtjylland 3 2 0 1 +14 6
9 Aalborg 3 2 0 1 +13 6
10 FA 2000 3 2 0 1 +11 6
11 Aarhus Fremad 3 2 0 1 +11 6
12 FC Copenhagen 2 2 0 0 +10 6
13 Hvidovre IF 2 2 0 0 +10 6
14 Vejle 2 2 0 0 +8 6
15 Esbjerg 3 2 0 1 +7 6
16 Naestved 3 2 0 1 +6 6
17 Odense 2 2 0 0 +6 6
18 Hobro 3 2 0 1 +4 6
19 Viby 3 2 0 1 +3 6
20 Silkeborg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
21 HB Koge 3 2 0 1 +2 6
22 Vanløse 3 2 0 1 +2 6
23 Nykobing FC 3 2 0 1 +2 6
24 Thisted FC 3 2 0 1 +1 6
25 HIK 3 2 0 1 -1 6
26 Lyseng 3 2 0 1 -5 6
27 tst Fodbold 3 1 1 1 -6 4
28 Hillerød 2 1 0 1 +5 3
29 Middelfart 2 1 0 1 +4 3
30 Næsby 2 1 0 1 +3 3
31 Brondby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
32 Kolding B 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 SfB-Oure 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Skjold Sæby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Ringsted 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Viborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Aarhus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 VSK Århus 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Sonderjyske 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 B 1908 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 AB Tårnby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 VRI 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Tune 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Skjold Birkerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Skive 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Ringkøbing 2 1 0 1 -3 3
50 Taastrup 2 1 0 1 -4 3
51 Dalum 2 1 0 1 -5 3
52 Bagsværd 2 1 0 1 -5 3
53 Søften 2 1 0 1 -6 3
54 Aabenraa 2 1 0 1 -12 3
55 Randers FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Nordsjaelland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 B 1909 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Vejgaard B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Fjordager 2 0 1 1 -8 1
60 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Glostrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Amager FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Gug 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Horsens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Greve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 LSF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Tåsinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Nibe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Frem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Otterup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 OKS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Jetsmark 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Køge Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Bispebjerg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Aarhus 1900 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Morud/Veflinge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Varde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Højslev IF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
95 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
96 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
97 BSF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
98 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -7 0
99 KRFK 1 0 0 1 -7 0
100 Egen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
101 Bredballe 1 0 0 1 -8 0
102 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -16 0
103 Avrasya 1 0 0 1 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viborg Nordsjaelland
1–0 J. Grønning
31′
Half-time 1–1
46′
C. Rasmussen 1–1
A. Schjelderup
46′
🔁 M. Frese
↦ L. Hey
46′
🔁 B. Nygren
↦ R. Ascone
54′
C. Rasmussen 1–2
A. Schjelderup
57′
C. Rasmussen 1–3
A. Schjelderup
Renato Júnior 🔁
↦ Serginho
58′
M. Søndergaard 🔁
↦ J. Grønning
58′
2–3 M. Søndergaard
64′
65′
🟨 D. Svensson
I. Said 🔁
↦ I. Jensen
69′
73′
🔁 M. Ingvartsen
↦ A. Schjelderup
76′
🟨 M. Frese
A. Jatta 🔁
↦ A. Ementa
79′
M. Westergaard 🔁
↦ J. Mbom
79′
82′
🔁 J. Jensen-Abbew
↦ K. Hansen
89′
🔁 E. Marxen
↦ C. Rasmussen
93′
🟨 A. Hansen
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Viborg

1 L. Lund
4 N. Bürgy
5 Ž. Zaletel
23 O. Bundgaard
30 S. Kuzmić
13 J. Grønning
17 J. Bonde
18 J. Mbom
7 Serginho
15 I. Jensen
14 A. Ementa
Bench (9)
11 Renato Júnior
6 M. Søndergaard
8 I. Said
12 A. Jatta
28 M. Westergaard
9 N. Thomas
10 J. Jacobs
37 J. Vester
20 K. Kiilerich

Coach: J. Friis

Nordsjaelland

13 A. Hansen
4 K. Hansen
23 O. Villadsen
27 D. Svensson
39 A. Nagalo
19 L. Hey
6 J. Tverskov
12 R. Ascone
8 A. Schjelderup
29 M. Dorgeles
17 C. Rasmussen
Bench (9)
5 M. Frese
9 B. Nygren
7 M. Ingvartsen
30 J. Jensen-Abbew
15 E. Marxen
40 C. Harder
42 K. Barslund
21 Z. Sertdemir
25 C. Eriksson

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.