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Copa del Rey
Referee: César Soto
Rubí
U
1–2
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rubí Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
0,0
2,8
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
0,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +12 3
2 Betis 1 1 0 0 +11 3
3 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Buñol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
13 Deportivo Murcia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Antequera 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Elche 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Andratx 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Melilla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Cayón 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Alcorcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Lugo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Atlético Astorga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Valle Egüés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Arandina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Tudelano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Terrassa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 Boiro 2 1 0 1 -3 3
47 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
48 Hernán Cortés 2 1 0 1 -9 3
49 Tardienta 2 1 0 1 -11 3
50 Zamora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Rubí 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Linares Deportivo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Cartagena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Orihuela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Tarazona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Marbella 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
105 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rubí Ath Bilbao
D. Perez Picon 🟨
1′
O. Morell 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–1
50′
⚽ Malcom Adu 0–1
Raúl García
57′
⚽ Malcom Adu 0–2
Álex Berenguer
Marc Rodriguez 🔁
↦ Dani Muela
63′
Sergi Monsó 🔁
↦ David Picón
63′
68′
🔁 Dani García
↦ Mikel Vesga
68′
🔁 Ruíz de Galarreta
↦ Unai Gómez
72′
🔁 Dani Vivian
↦ Unai Eguíluz
A. Afazaz 🔁
↦ Muñi
73′
Cristian Mulero 🔁
↦ Pau Albelda
73′
Sergio Mulero 🔁
↦ Óscar Morell
82′
82′
🔁 Asier Villalibre
↦ Malcom Adu
82′
🔁 Oihan Sancet
↦ Raúl García
S. Mulero 🟨
84′
1–2 Marc Rodriguez ⚽
86′
S. Monso 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Rubí

1 Rafa Leva
20 Àlex Ruiz
2 Aitor Torres
4 Oriol Tenorio
5 David Picón
10 Pau Albelda
3 Óscar Morell
8 Jordi Masip
9 Dani Muela
7 Adrià Recort
11 Muñi
Bench (11)
18 Marc Rodriguez
14 Sergi Monsó
19 A. Afazaz
17 Cristian Mulero
21 Sergio Mulero
16 Carri
23 Marc Cintas
15 Mario Hervías
24 Eloi Moral
13 Iván Capurro
6 Alejandro de la Rubia

Coach: Jordi Peris

Ath Bilbao

13 Julen Agirrezabala
15 Lekue
23 Peru Nolaskoain
24 Beñat Prados
27 Unai Eguíluz
22 Raúl García
6 Mikel Vesga
30 Unai Gómez
10 Muniain
7 Álex Berenguer
29 Malcom Adu
Bench (11)
14 Dani García
16 Ruíz de Galarreta
3 Dani Vivian
20 Asier Villalibre
8 Oihan Sancet
1 Unai Simón
12 Gorka Guruzeta
9 I. Williams
32 Hugo Rincón
19 Imanol García de Albéniz
18 De Marcos

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.