Premiership
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | +30 | 30 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +17 | 26 |
| 3 |
Aberdeen
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 4 |
St Mirren
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 5 |
Hibernian
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 17 |
| 6 |
Livingston
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 7 |
Hearts
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 |
Motherwell
|
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |
ST Johnstone
|
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 13 |
| 10 |
Kilmarnock
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
Dundee United
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 9 |
| 12 |
Ross County
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hibernian
ST Johnstone
Livingston
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
Celtic
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
Dundee United
ST Johnstone
C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.