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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
ST Johnstone
S T T T S
1–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
25%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
67%
42%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 9. · Kilmarnock 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 11 10 0 1 +30 30
2 Rangers 11 8 2 1 +17 26
3 Aberdeen 11 6 1 4 +6 19
4 St Mirren 11 6 1 4 -2 19
5 Hibernian 12 5 2 5 -2 17
6 Livingston 11 5 1 5 -4 16
7 Hearts 11 4 2 5 -2 14
8 Motherwell 12 4 1 7 -1 13
9 ST Johnstone 12 4 1 7 -4 13
10 Kilmarnock 12 3 3 6 -10 12
11 Dundee United 12 2 3 7 -14 9
12 Ross County 12 2 3 7 -14 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,45
U
3,04
B
3,05
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,44
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.