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Belgisk cup
Referee: H De Couvreur
Dender
S S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Kortrijk
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 57%
80%
33%
Points per game
2,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 27%
20%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Onhaye 5 4 1 0 +15 13
2 Elene-Grotenberge 6 4 1 1 +1 13
3 Crossing Schaerbeek 5 4 0 1 +8 12
4 Meux 5 4 0 1 +7 12
5 Sint-Lenaarts 5 4 0 1 +3 12
6 Knokke 4 3 1 0 +6 10
7 RAS Monceau 4 3 1 0 +4 10
8 Harelbeke 4 3 1 0 +4 10
9 Racing Mechelen 4 3 0 1 +14 9
10 RAAL La Louviere 4 3 0 1 +10 9
11 Roeselare Daisel 3 3 0 0 +10 9
12 Sprimont 4 3 0 1 +6 9
13 Thes Sport 4 3 0 1 +5 9
14 Destelbergen 4 3 0 1 +4 9
15 Marloie Sport 4 3 0 1 +3 9
16 Ethe Belmont 4 3 0 1 +3 9
17 Ninove 4 3 0 1 +3 9
18 Tongeren 4 3 0 1 +2 9
19 URSL Visé 4 3 0 1 +2 9
20 Beaufays 4 3 0 1 -1 9
21 Montignies 4 3 0 1 -4 9
22 Habay-la-Neuve 5 2 2 1 +5 8
23 Esperanza Pelt 4 2 2 0 +3 8
24 Albert Quévy-Mons 4 2 1 1 +11 7
25 Oudenaarde 3 2 1 0 +9 7
26 Lokeren-Temse 3 2 1 0 +7 7
27 VW Hamme 4 2 1 1 +6 7
28 Sporting Tisselt 3 2 1 0 +5 7
29 Ostiches 3 2 1 0 +4 7
30 Landen 3 2 1 0 +3 7
31 Lauwe 3 2 1 0 +3 7
32 Achel 4 2 1 1 +2 7
33 Olympic Charleroi 3 2 1 0 +2 7
34 Herent 3 2 1 0 +2 7
35 Ster-Francorchamps 3 2 1 0 +2 7
36 Jodoigne 5 2 1 2 -5 7
37 Haasdonk 4 2 1 1 -6 7
38 Wezel 3 2 0 1 +11 6
39 RUS Binche 3 2 0 1 +10 6
40 Rebecq 3 2 0 1 +8 6
41 Oostende 2 2 0 0 +7 6
42 De Kempen 3 2 0 1 +6 6
43 Groen Star Beek 3 2 0 1 +6 6
44 Sottegem 3 2 0 1 +6 6
45 Biesme 3 2 0 1 +6 6
46 Péruwelz 3 2 0 1 +5 6
47 Warnant 3 2 0 1 +5 6
48 Beauraing 3 2 0 1 +4 6
49 Berchem Sport 3 2 0 1 +4 6
50 Merelbeke 3 2 0 1 +3 6
51 Wilrijk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
52 Diest 3 2 0 1 +3 6
53 Rupel Boom 3 2 0 1 +2 6
54 Antoing 3 2 0 1 +2 6
55 Antonia 3 2 0 1 +2 6
56 Wellen 3 2 0 1 +2 6
57 JS Fizoise 3 2 0 1 +1 6
58 's Gravenwezel-Schilde 3 2 0 1 +1 6
59 Eendracht Aalst 3 2 0 1 +1 6
60 Hamoir 3 2 0 1 -2 6
61 Stade Bierbeek 3 2 0 1 -9 6
62 Torpedo Hasselt 3 1 2 0 +14 5
63 Wolvertem Merchtem 3 1 2 0 +4 5
64 Genappe 3 1 2 0 +4 5
65 Ganshoren 4 1 2 1 -3 5
66 Zelzate 2 1 1 0 +7 4
67 Raeren-Eynatten 2 1 1 0 +4 4
68 Flavion-Morialmé 3 1 1 1 +4 4
69 Rochefort 3 1 1 1 +4 4
70 Aische 2 1 1 0 +4 4
71 Spouwen-Mopertingen 3 1 1 1 +3 4
72 Waregem 2 1 1 0 +3 4
73 Denderhoutem 2 1 1 0 +2 4
74 Hornu 2 1 1 0 +2 4
75 Entité Manageoise 2 1 1 0 +1 4
76 Houtvenne 2 1 1 0 +1 4
77 Wevelgem City 2 1 1 0 +1 4
78 Hannut 2 1 1 0 +1 4
79 Geel 2 1 1 0 +1 4
80 Sparta Heestert 2 1 1 0 +1 4
81 Wambeek-Ternat 2 1 1 0 +1 4
82 Zwijndrecht 2 1 1 0 +1 4
83 Blankenberge 2 1 1 0 +1 4
84 SC Zonnebeke 2 1 1 0 +1 4
85 Verviers 2 1 1 0 +1 4
86 Walhain 2 1 1 0 +1 4
87 Villers-La-Ville 3 1 1 1 +0 4
88 KBSK Retie 3 1 1 1 +0 4
89 Wanze / Bas-Oha 3 1 1 1 -1 4
90 Spy 3 1 1 1 -1 4
91 Houdinois 3 1 1 1 -1 4
92 Hoogstraten 3 1 1 1 -1 4
93 Fortuna Smeermaas 3 1 1 1 -1 4
94 Eppegem 3 1 1 1 -2 4
95 Perwez 3 1 1 1 -2 4
96 Vlijtingen 3 1 1 1 -4 4
97 Braine 3 1 1 1 -4 4
98 BX Brussels 4 1 1 2 -5 4
99 Kalfort Puursica 3 1 1 1 -9 4
100 Richelle United 2 1 0 1 +6 3
101 Drongen 2 1 0 1 +5 3
102 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1 1 0 0 +5 3
103 Svelta Melsele II 2 1 0 1 +4 3
104 Acren-Lessines 2 1 0 1 +4 3
105 Rotselaar 2 1 0 1 +4 3
106 Eendracht Termien 2 1 0 1 +4 3
107 Beringen 2 1 0 1 +4 3
108 Genk 1 1 0 0 +4 3
109 Sporting Kampenhout 2 1 0 1 +3 3
110 Estaimbourg 2 1 0 1 +3 3
111 Turnhout 2 1 0 1 +3 3
112 Rhodienne-De Hoek 2 1 0 1 +3 3
113 Gouvy 2 1 0 1 +3 3
114 Antwerp 1 1 0 0 +3 3
115 Gilly 2 1 0 1 +3 3
116 Sint-Denijs Sport 2 1 0 1 +3 3
117 St Truiden 1 1 0 0 +3 3
118 Charleroi 1 1 0 0 +3 3
119 Oostkamp 2 1 0 1 +2 3
120 Dikkelvenne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
121 Saive 2 1 0 1 +2 3
122 K. Kontich 2 1 0 1 +2 3
123 Tournai 2 1 0 1 +2 3
124 Diegem Sport 2 1 0 1 +2 3
125 Flénu 2 1 0 1 +2 3
126 Eendracht Aalter 2 1 0 1 +2 3
127 Hades 2 1 0 1 +2 3
128 KRC Gent 2 1 0 1 +2 3
129 Patro Eisden 1 1 0 0 +2 3
130 DT Borsbeke 2 1 0 1 +1 3
131 Dessel Sport 2 1 0 1 +1 3
132 Kadijk Overpelt 2 1 0 1 +1 3
133 Sassport Boezinge 2 1 0 1 +1 3
134 Jette 2 1 0 1 +1 3
135 Berlare 2 1 0 1 +1 3
136 Pepingen-Halle 2 1 0 1 +1 3
137 Dottignies 2 1 0 1 +1 3
138 St. Gilloise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
139 Anderlecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
140 Dender 1 1 0 0 +1 3
141 Beveren 1 1 0 0 +1 3
142 Malmundaria 2 1 0 1 +0 3
143 Wielsbeke 2 1 0 1 +0 3
144 Sparta Petegem 2 1 0 1 +0 3
145 Francs Borains 2 1 0 1 +0 3
146 Diksmuide 2 1 0 1 +0 3
147 Libramont 2 1 0 1 +0 3
148 K. Lierse S.K. 2 1 0 1 +0 3
149 Ternesse 2 1 0 1 +0 3
150 HO Kalken 2 1 0 1 +0 3
151 Meix-Devant-Virton 2 1 0 1 +0 3
152 US Dinantaise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
153 Eendracht Maasmechelen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
154 Stockay-Warfusée 2 1 0 1 +0 3
155 Heusy Rouheid 2 1 0 1 -1 3
156 RFC Wetteren 2 1 0 1 -1 3
157 Paliseulois 2 1 0 1 -1 3
158 Olsa Brakel 2 1 0 1 -1 3
159 Alken 2 1 0 1 -1 3
160 Galmaarden 2 1 0 1 -1 3
161 Wallonne Ciney 2 1 0 1 -1 3
162 Ardennen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
163 Rumbeke 2 1 0 1 -1 3
164 Ardooie 2 1 0 1 -2 3
165 Longlier 2 1 0 1 -2 3
166 Lokeren Doorslaar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
167 FC Du Geer 2 1 0 1 -2 3
168 Grembergen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
169 Oostnieuwkerke 2 1 0 1 -2 3
170 Messancy 2 1 0 1 -3 3
171 WIK Eine 2 1 0 1 -3 3
172 Wijnegem 2 1 0 1 -3 3
173 Evelette-Jallet 2 1 0 1 -3 3
174 Roy-Lignieres 2 1 0 1 -3 3
175 Profondeville 2 1 0 1 -3 3
176 Ekeren Donk 2 1 0 1 -4 3
177 WSAC Fleurus 2 1 0 1 -4 3
178 Belœil 2 1 0 1 -5 3
179 Wanze / Bas-Oha II 2 1 0 1 -8 3
180 Anvaing 2 1 0 1 -9 3
181 Bocholt 2 0 2 0 +0 2
182 Excelsior Virton 3 0 2 1 -1 2
183 Erpe-Mere United 3 0 2 1 -2 2
184 Léopold 3 0 2 1 -2 2
185 RESC Houffaloise 3 0 2 1 -5 2
186 Sint-Dymphna 3 0 2 1 -5 2
187 Loyers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
188 Westhoek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
189 Beerschot VA 1 0 1 0 +0 1
190 Sterrebeek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
191 Cercle Brugge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
192 Condruzien 1 0 1 0 +0 1
193 Zepperen-Brustem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
194 Mormont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
195 Fenixx BeigHum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
196 Tienen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
197 Oppagne-Wéris 1 0 1 0 +0 1
198 Tubize 1 0 1 0 +0 1
199 Schoonbeek-Beverst 1 0 1 0 +0 1
200 Boutersem United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
201 KSK Beveren 1 0 1 0 +0 1
202 Auderghem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
203 Jong Lede 1 0 1 0 +0 1
204 Cappellen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
205 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
206 Sint-Eloois-Winkel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
207 Mandel United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
208 Mechelen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
209 Deinze 1 0 1 0 +0 1
210 Sporting Bruxelles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
211 Zandhovense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
212 Ans Montegnée 1 0 1 0 +0 1
213 Luingnois II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
214 Petigny-Frasnes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
215 Schriek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
216 Bastogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
217 Kattenbos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
218 Saint-Michel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
219 's Herenelderen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
220 Zuun 1 0 1 0 +0 1
221 Betekom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
222 Voorde Appelterre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
223 Svelta Melsele 2 0 1 1 -1 1
224 City Pirates Antwerpen 2 0 1 1 -1 1
225 Veltem 2 0 1 1 -1 1
226 La Louvière Centre 2 0 1 1 -1 1
227 La Calamine 2 0 1 1 -1 1
228 Avanti 2 0 1 1 -1 1
229 FC Lebbeke 2 0 1 1 -1 1
230 PSV 1820 2 0 1 1 -1 1
231 Herk 2 0 1 1 -1 1
232 Aywaille 2 0 1 1 -1 1
233 Kosova Schaerbeek 2 0 1 1 -1 1
234 Grand-Leez 2 0 1 1 -2 1
235 Racing Waregem 2 0 1 1 -3 1
236 Isièroise 2 0 1 1 -4 1
237 Tempo Overijse 2 0 1 1 -5 1
238 Nieuwerkerken 2 0 1 1 -6 1
239 Verlaine 2 0 1 1 -6 1
240 Tielt-Winge 3000 2 0 1 1 -7 1
241 Richelle United II 2 0 1 1 -7 1
242 Croatia Wandre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
243 Saint-André Ochamps 1 0 0 1 -1 0
244 Gullegem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
245 Olympia Wijgmaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
246 Lille 1 0 0 1 -1 0
247 Varsenare 1 0 0 1 -1 0
248 Berg en Dal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
249 Ritterklub Jette 1 0 0 1 -1 0
250 Hoboken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
251 Eendracht Mazenzele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
252 Brasschaat 1 0 0 1 -1 0
253 Honsfeld 1 0 0 1 -1 0
254 Olen United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
255 SC Duffel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
256 Stade Verviers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
257 Nijlen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
258 Zwarte Leeuw 1 0 0 1 -1 0
259 Sporting Hasselt 1 0 0 1 -1 0
260 Eendracht Wervik 1 0 0 1 -1 0
261 Huy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
262 Witgoor Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
263 KFC Eksel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
264 RUS Assenois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
265 Meulebeke 1 0 0 1 -1 0
266 Heikant Zele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
267 Loenhout 1 0 0 1 -1 0
268 Bredene 1 0 0 1 -1 0
269 Entité Wasseiges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
270 Obigies 1 0 0 1 -1 0
271 Jong Zulte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
272 Molenbaix 1 0 0 1 -1 0
273 Linden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
274 Waremme 1 0 0 1 -1 0
275 Chevetogne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
276 Jeunesse Tamines 1 0 0 1 -1 0
277 Moen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
278 Herstal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
279 Meeuwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
280 Union La Calamine II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
281 Bütgenbach 1 0 0 1 -1 0
282 Saint-Josse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
283 Kleit Maldegem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
284 Meux II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
285 Thumaide 1 0 0 1 -1 0
286 Grün-Weiss Amel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
287 Daring Brugge 1 0 0 1 -2 0
288 Excelsior Zedelgem 1 0 0 1 -2 0
289 Heist 1 0 0 1 -2 0
290 Munkzwalm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
291 Volkegem 1 0 0 1 -2 0
292 Aubel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
293 Grez-Doiceau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
294 Lorraine Arlon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
295 Londerzeel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
296 Bellem 1 0 0 1 -2 0
297 Arquet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
298 Torhout 1 0 0 1 -2 0
299 Seraing United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
300 Meer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
301 Ruddervoorde II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
302 Couvin-Mariembourg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
303 Jeunesse Freylangeoise 1 0 0 1 -2 0
304 Poesele 1 0 0 1 -2 0
305 Rapid Symphorinois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
306 Stormvogels Drieslinter 1 0 0 1 -2 0
307 Eupen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
308 Liège 1 0 0 1 -2 0
309 Ixelles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
310 Herselt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
311 Genker 1 0 0 1 -2 0
312 Houthulst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
313 Lommel United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
314 Naastois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
315 RAC Saint-Mard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
316 Havré 1 0 0 1 -2 0
317 Fernelmont-Hemptinne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
318 Geluwe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
319 KMR Biesen II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
320 Elsautoise 1 0 0 1 -3 0
321 Zwaluwen Olmen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
322 Oreye Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
323 Seraing Athlétique 1 0 0 1 -3 0
324 Sint-Niklaas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
325 Nismes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
326 KFC Zammel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
327 RAEC Mons II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
328 Herkol 1 0 0 1 -3 0
329 Weerstand Koersel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
330 Eendracht Zoersel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
331 Halvenweg Zonhoven 1 0 0 1 -3 0
332 Morlanwelz 1 0 0 1 -4 0
333 FC Vilvoorde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
334 AEDEC Hyon 1 0 0 1 -4 0
335 Jumet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
336 Mortsel 1 0 0 1 -4 0
337 Voorwaarts Gijzel 1 0 0 1 -4 0
338 NSeth Berchem 1 0 0 1 -4 0
339 Newcastle United U21 1 0 0 1 -5 0
340 Etterbeek 1 0 0 1 -5 0
341 Vaux-Noville 1 0 0 1 -5 0
342 Zeveren Sportief 1 0 0 1 -6 0
343 SSD Opoeteren 1 0 0 1 -6 0
344 Union Namur 2 0 0 2 -7 0
345 Binkom 1 0 0 1 -7 0
346 Excelsior Mariakerke 1 0 0 1 -8 0
347 Eendracht Zele 1 0 0 1 -8 0
348 Eendracht Houthalen 1 0 0 1 -14 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dender Kortrijk
1–0 N. Rajsel ⚽
10′
K. Masangu 🟨
11′
28′
⚽ A. Kadri 1–1
K. Masangu 🟨
37′
K. Masangu 🟥
37′
44′
🟨 M. Bruno
Half-time 1–1
62′
🔁 D. Mbayo
↦ M. El Idrissy
62′
🔁 I. Davies
↦ M. Bruno
B. Nsimba 🔁
↦ J. Soladio
72′
G. Ruyssen 🟨
80′
84′
🔁 N. Mehssatou
↦ A. Mighten
N. Rodes 🟨
85′
D. Ragolle 🔁
↦ G. Ruyssen
87′
O. Myny 🔁
↦ L. Hens
87′
J. Pupe 🟨
90′
98′
🔁 D. Seck
↦ D. De Neve
N. Rajsel 🟨
101′
A. Akman 🔁
↦ N. Rajsel
106′
O. Myny 🟨
107′
110′
🟨 A. Kadri
A. Akman 🟨
116′
122′
🟨 D. Mbayo
125′
🟨 D. Mbayo
125′
🟥 D. Mbayo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dender

26 K. Tani
28 S. Marzo
22 G. Ruyssen
21 K. Cools
3 J. Pupe
10 L. Hens
18 N. Rôdes
16 K. Masangu
98 J. Soladio
11 N. Rajsel
7 R. M'Barki
Bench (7)
77 B. Nsimba
5 D. Ragolle
14 O. Myny
19 A. Akman
6 J. Rowell
13 J. Devriendt
85 A. Dony

Coach: T. Simons

Kortrijk

1 T. Vandenberghe
44 João Silva
4 M. Mampassi
15 K. Malinov
70 M. Bruno
16 M. Kana
10 A. Kadri
11 D. De Neve
54 S. Ojo
99 M. El Idrissy
23 A. Mighten
Bench (7)
7 D. Mbayo
39 I. Davies
6 N. Mehssatou
76 D. Seck
21 M. Wasinski
27 A. Sissako
95 L. Pirard

Coach: G. De Boeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.