Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

DFB-Pokal

Referee: F Willenborg

FC Saarbrücken

2–1

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

FC Saarbrücken Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 92%

100%

83%

Points per game

3,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,3

Scored

2,0

3,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

4,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

25% Possession 75%

4 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 9

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Saarbrücken 24. · Bayern Munich 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Paderborn	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Kaiserslautern	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	St Pauli	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	FC 08 Homburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Magdeburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
15	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
16	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+6	3
17	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	+3	3
20	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	SpVgg Unterhaching	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
31	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Sandhausen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
36	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
56	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
59	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
60	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
61	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
62	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
63	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
64	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC 08 Homburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	SpVgg Unterhaching	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sandhausen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-4	0
28	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
29	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
30	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
31	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
32	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
33	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
34	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
35	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
36	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
37	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
38	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
39	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
40	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Paderborn	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Magdeburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
7	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
9	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+6	3
10	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
11	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	+3	3
18	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Saarbrücken Bayern Munich

Manuel Zeitz 🟨

10′

16′

⚽ T. Müller 0–1

F. Krätzig

25′

🔁 K. Laimer

↦ M. de Ligt

40′

🟨 Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting

Half-time 1–1

1–1 P. Sontheimer ⚽

L. Boeder

46′

60′

🔁 J. Musiala

↦ F. Krätzig

60′

🔁 K. Coman

↦ L. Sané

60′

🔁 S. Gnabry

↦ B. Sarr

L. Kerber 🔁

↦ F. Di Michele Sanchez

67′

J. Biada 🔁

↦ S. Stehle

67′

T. Civeja 🔁

↦ Boné Uaferro

71′

Patrick Sontheimer 🟨

72′

J. Günther-Schmidt 🔁

↦ K. Rabihić

72′

Marcel Gaus 🟨

82′

K. Brünker 🔁

↦ P. Sontheimer

83′

2–1 M. Gaus ⚽

T. Civeja

96′

Full-time 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

11. Aug POK 3 years ago

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,3 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

22,7 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee