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Europa League
Referee: B Bastien
TSC Backa Topola
T T T
2–2
Full-time
Olympiakos
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

TSC Backa Topola Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
0,7
3,0
Conceded
3,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,7
+2,0
This season — Europa League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
100%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,19 xG 0,74
49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Match report

TSC Backa Topola Olympiakos
16′
⚽ G. Masouras 0–1
Daniel Podence
Half-time 0–2
57′
⚽ Daniel Podence 0–2
K. Fortounis
62′
🔁 S. Jovetić
↦ Daniel Podence
63′
🔁 O. Solbakken
↦ G. Masouras
1–2 I. Đakovac ⚽
S. Jovanović
63′
71′
🟥 Andreas Ndoj
74′
🔁 J. Porozo
↦ A. El Kaabi
74′
🔁 S. Alexandropoulos
↦ K. Fortounis
M. Vulić 🔁
↦ G. Antonić
79′
M. Pantović 🔁
↦ P. Stanić
79′
85′
🟨 Alexandros Paschalakis
B. Sós 🔁
↦ S. Jovanović
87′
M. Mirchevski 🔁
↦ M. Radin
88′
2–2 M. Pantović ⚽
N. Stojić
90′
Nemanja Petrović 🟨
93′
J. Vlalukin 🔁
↦ M. Rakonjac
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

TSC Backa Topola

5-3-2
12 V. Ilić G
29 M. Cvetković D
17 G. Antonić D
18 N. Stojić D
4 J. Ćalušić D
30 N. Petrović D
35 I. Đakovac M
7 M. Radin M
14 P. Stanić M
8 S. Jovanović F
97 M. Rakonjac F
Bench (11)
37 M. Vulić
27 M. Pantović
88 B. Sós
10 M. Mirchevski
77 J. Vlalukin
23 N. Jorgić
44 V. Krstić
9 U. Milovanović
32 A. Ćirković
1 N. Simić
21 N. Kuveljić

Coach: Ž. Lazetić

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
74 A. Ntoi D
18 Quini D
32 S. Hezze M
4 M. Camara M
56 Daniel Podence M
19 G. Masouras M
7 K. Fortounis M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (11)
22 S. Jovetić
98 O. Solbakken
25 J. Porozo
15 S. Alexandropoulos
17 M. Vrousai
3 F. Ortega
21 Pep Biel
20 João Carvalho
88 K. Tzolakis
11 Y. El-Arabi
99 T. Papadoudis

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.