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Super League
Referee: M Al Hakim
Olympiakos
S U T S S
4–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,2
This season — Super League · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 62%
83%
40%
Points per game
2,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 37%
33%
40%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
3,2
1,6
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,8
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
20 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Aris Thessalonikis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 6 5 1 0 +17 16
2 OFI Crete 7 3 3 1 +0 12
3 PAOK 6 3 2 1 +5 11
4 Panathinaikos 4 3 0 1 +8 9
5 Lamia 7 2 3 2 -4 9
6 AEK 4 2 2 0 +2 8
7 Aris Thessalonikis 5 2 1 2 +2 7
8 Asteras Tripolis 6 2 1 3 -1 7
9 Aris 6 2 1 3 -1 7
10 Panserraikos 5 1 3 1 +0 6
11 Giannina 5 1 2 2 +0 5
12 Kifisia 6 1 2 3 -7 5
13 Panetolikos 6 0 3 3 -11 3
14 Volos NFC 5 0 2 3 -5 2
15 Atromitos 4 0 2 2 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Aris Thessalonikis
0–1 J. Brabec
own goal
21′
37′
🔁 Fran Vélez
↦ J. Brabec
Quini 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Rubén Pardo
↦ M. Odubajo
47′
Rubén Pardo 0–2
Daniel Podence 🔁
↦ O. Solbakken
55′
Pep Biel 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
55′
Mady Camara 🟨
61′
1–2 A. El Kaabi
K. Fortounis
62′
2–2 A. El Kaabi
Rodinei
70′
71′
🔁 D. Moberg Karlsson
↦ M. Suleymanov
71′
🔁 Á. Zamora
↦ J. Menéndez
F. Ortega 🔁
↦ Quini
74′
S. Jovetić 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
78′
A. Ntoi 🔁
↦ P. Retsos
78′
3–2 S. Jovetić
Pep Biel
83′
86′
🔁 J. Jules
↦ B. Verstraete
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
16 N. Freire D
18 Quini D
4 M. Camara M
32 S. Hezze M
7 K. Fortounis M
19 G. Masouras M
98 O. Solbakken M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (9)
56 Daniel Podence
21 Pep Biel
3 F. Ortega
22 S. Jovetić
74 A. Ntoi
88 K. Tzolakis
15 S. Alexandropoulos
11 Y. El-Arabi
20 João Carvalho

Coach: Diego Martínez

Aris Thessalonikis

4-4-2
23 Julián G
33 Martín Montoya D
4 Fabiano D
14 J. Brabec D
13 R. Matarrita D
22 M. Odubajo M
16 V. Darida M
28 B. Verstraete M
27 J. Menéndez M
93 M. Suleymanov F
80 Loren Morón F
Bench (9)
44 Fran Vélez
21 Rubén Pardo
32 D. Moberg Karlsson
12 Á. Zamora
30 J. Jules
3 F. Ferrari
7 L. Christodoulopoulos
94 L. Choutesiotis
8 C. Doukouré

Coach: A. Mantzios

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.