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Super League
Referee: R Reinshreiber
Olympiakos
T S S S S
1–2
Full-time
Panathinaikos
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — Super League · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 61%
73%
49%
Points per game
2,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
49%
32%
Both score Ø 39%
51%
27%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
20 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Panathinaikos 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 37 27 7 3 +38 88
2 Panathinaikos 37 18 8 11 +25 62
3 PAOK 38 18 7 13 +20 61
4 AEK 37 17 8 12 +15 59
5 Aris Thessalonikis 34 16 8 10 +7 56
6 Aris 34 16 8 10 +7 56
7 Giannina 37 14 11 12 +6 53
8 OFI Crete 34 11 13 10 +0 46
9 Ionikos 34 12 9 13 +0 45
10 Volos NFC 34 10 10 14 -5 40
11 Asteras Tripolis 34 11 7 16 -7 40
12 Panetolikos 34 10 7 17 -20 37
13 Atromitos 34 8 8 18 -24 32
14 Lamia 34 6 8 20 -21 26
15 Apollon 34 4 11 19 -41 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Apr -22 Panathinaikos – Olympiakos 1–0 16. Jan -22 Panathinaikos – Olympiakos 0–0 3. Oct -21 Olympiakos – Panathinaikos 0–0 16. May -21 Panathinaikos – Olympiakos 1–4 11. Apr -21 Olympiakos – Panathinaikos 3–1

Match report

Olympiakos Panathinaikos
10′
⚽ S. Palacios 0–1
D. Kourbelis
22′
🟨 Fotis Ioannidis
23′
🔁 Carlitos López
↦ F. Ioannidis
Avraam Papadopoulos 🟨
26′
28′
🟨 Sotiris Alexandropoulos
Sokratis 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–1
P. Cissé 🔁
↦ A. Papadopoulos
46′
Tiquinho Soares 🔁
↦ A. Camara
46′
46′
🔁 Rubén Pérez
↦ S. Alexandropoulos
54′
⚽ B. Schenkeveld 0–2
Aitor Cantalapiedra
63′
🔁 T. Chatzigiovanis
↦ Aitor Cantalapiedra
63′
🔁 Mateus Vital
↦ S. Palacios
M. Valbuena 🔁
↦ Garry Rodrigues
64′
1–2 Tiquinho Soares ⚽
Y. El-Arabi
71′
Youssef El Arabi 🟨
75′
75′
🟨 Rubén Pérez
78′
🔁 Juan Carlos
↦ D. Kourbelis
M. Kané 🔁
↦ Y. MVila
79′
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ Rony Lopes
79′
89′
🟨 Zvonimir Šarlija
96′
🟨 Alberto Brignoli
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 T. Vaclík goalkeeper
34 A. Papadopoulos central_de
15 S. Papastathopoulos central_de
27 K. Lala right_back
45 O. Reabciuk left_back
6 Y. M'Vila central_mi
4 M. Camara central_mi
22 A. Camara central_mi
11 Y. El-Arabi striker
10 Rony Lopes left_winge
77 Garry Rodrigues right_wing
Bench (9)
66 P. Cissé
29 Tiquinho Soares
28 M. Valbuena
36 M. Kané
19 G. Masouras
31 Ö. Kristinsson
17 M. Vrousai
8 P. Kunde
5 A. Bouchalakis

Coach: Pedro Martins

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
91 A. Brignoli goalkeeper
14 F. Sánchez left_back
5 B. Schenkeveld central_de
31 Z. Šarlija central_de
27 G. Kotsiras right_back
19 L. Villafáñez central_mi
21 D. Kourbelis central_mi
6 S. Alexandropoulos central_mi
34 S. Palacios striker
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra striker
7 F. Ioannidis striker
Bench (9)
10 Carlitos López
17 Rubén Pérez
11 T. Chatzigiovanis
98 Mateus Vital
3 Juan Carlos
44 A. Poungouras
9 F. Macheda
1 S. Dioudis
88 Maurício

Coach: I. Jovanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
🔒
U
3,07
🔒
B ✓
4,26
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,45
🔒
U2,5
1,52
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Reinshreiber · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.