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Super League
Referee: Tiago Martins
Panathinaikos
S S S T S
2–2
Full-time
PAOK
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
This season — Super League · 5/7 matches
Win Ø 69%
80%
57%
Points per game
2,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
80%
57%
Both score Ø 35%
40%
29%
Average goals
3,4
2,0
Scored
2,8
1,6
Conceded
0,6
0,4
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%
24 Shots 6
12 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 10
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 3. · PAOK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 7 6 1 0 +20 19
2 PAOK 7 4 2 1 +8 14
3 Panathinaikos 5 4 0 1 +11 12
4 OFI Crete 7 3 3 1 +0 12
5 Lamia 8 3 3 2 -3 12
6 AEK 5 3 2 0 +3 11
7 Panserraikos 6 2 3 1 +1 9
8 Aris Thessalonikis 7 2 2 3 -1 8
9 Aris 7 2 2 3 -1 8
10 Asteras Tripolis 7 2 1 4 -4 7
11 Kifisia 8 1 4 3 -7 7
12 Giannina 6 1 2 3 -1 5
13 Panetolikos 7 0 3 4 -12 3
14 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 -6 2
15 Volos NFC 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos PAOK
19′
Brandon Thomas 0–1
1–1 S. Palacios
32′
44′
🟨 Abdul Baba Rahman
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Taison
Filip Đuričić 🟨
48′
54′
🟨 Stefan Schwab
58′
A. Živković 1–2
Taison
62′
🔁 M. Ozdoev
↦ T. Tsingaras
62′
🔁 K. Despodov
↦ G. Konstantelias
D. Mancini 🔁
↦ S. Palacios
70′
B. Verbič 🔁
↦ F. Đuričić
70′
71′
🔁 S. Meïté
↦ S. Schwab
72′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ Brandon Thomas
77′
🟨 Dominik Kotarski
T. Vilhena 🔁
↦ A. Čerin
77′
A. Jeremejeff 🔁
↦ F. Ioannidis
82′
F. Mladenović 🔁
↦ Juankar
83′
84′
🔁 T. Murg
↦ Taison
Bart Schenkeveld 🟨
93′
2–2 A. Jeremejeff
F. Mladenović
96′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
91 A. Brignoli G
27 G. Kotsiras D
21 T. Jedvaj D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
3 Juankar D
55 Willian Arão M
16 A. Čerin M
34 S. Palacios M
31 F. Đuričić M
10 Bernard M
7 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
17 D. Mancini
77 B. Verbič
52 T. Vilhena
29 A. Jeremejeff
25 F. Mladenović
8 L. Kleinheisler
4 Rubén Pérez
6 Zeca
12 Y. Lodygin

Coach: I. Jovanović

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
16 T. Kędziora D
15 W. Troost-Ekong D
4 K. Koulierakis D
21 A. Baba D
22 S. Schwab M
6 T. Tsingaras M
14 A. Živković M
7 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
71 Brandon Thomas F
Bench (9)
27 M. Ozdoev
77 K. Despodov
8 S. Meïté
33 M. Samatta
10 T. Murg
20 Vieirinha
55 Rafa Soares
18 Ž. Živković
5 G. Michailidis

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,89
U ✓
3,25
B
4,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,27
U2,5
1,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tiago Martins · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.