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Super League
Referee: M Jug
AEK
U T T S U
0–0
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Super League · 35/36 matches
Win Ø 48%
46%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
60%
33%
Both score Ø 44%
60%
28%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
24 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 4. · Panathinaikos 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 35 25 7 3 +36 82
2 Panathinaikos 36 18 7 11 +25 61
3 PAOK 36 18 7 11 +22 61
4 AEK 35 16 7 12 +12 55
5 Giannina 36 14 11 11 +9 53
6 Aris Thessalonikis 32 15 8 9 +7 53
7 Aris 32 15 8 9 +7 53
8 OFI Crete 34 11 13 10 +0 46
9 Ionikos 34 12 9 13 +0 45
10 Volos NFC 34 10 10 14 -5 40
11 Asteras Tripolis 34 11 7 16 -7 40
12 Panetolikos 34 10 7 17 -20 37
13 Atromitos 34 8 8 18 -24 32
14 Lamia 34 6 8 20 -21 26
15 Apollon 34 4 11 19 -41 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Panathinaikos
Levi García 🟨
37′
39′
🟨 Lucas Villafáñez
Georgios Tzavellas 🟨
41′
Gerasimos Mitoglou 🟨
43′
43′
🟨 Aitor Cantalapiedra
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Mateus Vital
↦ L. Villafáñez
62′
🔁 D. Kourbelis
↦ Maurício
62′
🔁 Carlitos López
↦ F. Ioannidis
P. Mantalos 🔁
↦ E. Hajsafi
67′
M. Tankovic 🔁
↦ G. Krychowiak
74′
74′
🔁 F. Macheda
↦ Aitor Cantalapiedra
82′
🔁 F. Sánchez
↦ Juan Carlos
K. Ansarifard 🔁
↦ N. Amrabat
86′
88′
🟨 Dimitrios Kourbelis
95′
🟨 Sebastián Palacios
Petros Mantalos 🟨
96′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-3-3
23 C. Stanković goalkeeper
31 G. Tzavellas central_de
3 M. Mohammadi left_back
12 L. Rota right_back
24 G. Mitoglou central_de
7 N. Amrabat striker
26 E. Hajsafi central_mi
17 S. Zuber striker
16 G. Krychowiak central_mi
4 D. Szymański central_mi
9 L. Garcia
Bench (9)
20 P. Mantalos
22 M. Tankovic
10 K. Ansarifard
6 D. Le Tallec
1 P. Tsintotas
19 C. Michelin
28 Y. Shakhov
5 E. Svarnas
14 A. Fransson

Coach: S. Ofridopoulos

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
91 A. Brignoli goalkeeper
5 B. Schenkeveld central_de
4 Fran Vélez central_de
3 Juan Carlos left_back
27 G. Kotsiras right_back
19 L. Villafáñez central_mi
88 Maurício central_mi
17 Rubén Pérez central_mi
34 S. Palacios striker
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra striker
7 F. Ioannidis striker
Bench (9)
98 Mateus Vital
21 D. Kourbelis
10 Carlitos López
9 F. Macheda
14 F. Sánchez
31 Z. Šarlija
1 S. Dioudis
6 S. Alexandropoulos
11 T. Chatzigiovanis

Coach: I. Jovanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,05
U ✓
3,09
B
3,84
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Jug · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.