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Super League
Referee: V Fotias
Aris Thessalonikis
U U S S T
0–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Super League · 32/36 matches
Win Ø 60%
47%
72%
Points per game
1,7
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
31%
50%
Both score Ø 41%
28%
53%
Average goals
1,8
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 6. · Olympiakos 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 36 26 7 3 +37 85
2 Panathinaikos 37 18 8 11 +25 62
3 PAOK 36 18 7 11 +22 61
4 AEK 36 16 8 12 +12 56
5 Giannina 36 14 11 11 +9 53
6 Aris Thessalonikis 32 15 8 9 +7 53
7 Aris 33 15 8 10 +6 53
8 OFI Crete 34 11 13 10 +0 46
9 Ionikos 34 12 9 13 +0 45
10 Volos NFC 34 10 10 14 -5 40
11 Asteras Tripolis 34 11 7 16 -7 40
12 Panetolikos 34 10 7 17 -20 37
13 Atromitos 34 8 8 18 -24 32
14 Lamia 34 6 8 20 -21 26
15 Apollon 34 4 11 19 -41 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Mar -22 Olympiakos – Aris Thessalonikis 2–1 6. Mar -22 Aris Thessalonikis – Olympiakos 2–1 12. Dec -21 Olympiakos – Aris Thessalonikis 1–0 5. May -21 Aris Thessalonikis – Olympiakos 1–1 21. Mar -21 Olympiakos – Aris Thessalonikis 1–0

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos
Salem M'Bakata 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–1
55′
⚽ Tiquinho Soares 0–1
P. N'Diaye 🔁
↦ L. Palma
56′
60′
🟨 Mamadou Kané
Bruno Gama 🔁
↦ M. García
66′
68′
🔁 M. Valbuena
↦ B. Fadiga
D. Manos 🔁
↦ D. Mancini
76′
76′
🔁 Y. El-Arabi
↦ Tiquinho Soares
77′
🔁 M. Karbownik
↦ F. Kitsos
82′
🔁 V. Sourlis
↦ João Carvalho
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-4-2
23 Julián goalkeeper
21 D. Sundgren right_back
14 J. Brabec central_de
4 Fabiano central_de
2 S. M'Bakata left_back
26 Matilla central_mi
13 C. Doukouré central_mi
10 M. García left_winge
7 D. Mancini striker
50 L. Palma striker
15 J. Iturbe right_wing
Bench (9)
17 P. N'Diaye
16 Bruno Gama
9 D. Manos
18 F. Bertoglio
99 M. Siampanis
66 E. Šakić
5 G. Delizisis
25 C. Marmaridis
20 I. Hajrović

Coach: A. Terzis

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis goalkeeper
34 A. Papadopoulos central_de
41 P. Bagalianis central_de
8 P. Kunde central_mi
20 João Carvalho central_mi
14 T. Androutsos right_back
36 M. Kané central_mi
21 B. Fadiga left_winge
75 F. Kitsos left_back
29 Tiquinho Soares striker
17 M. Vrousai right_wing
Bench (9)
28 M. Valbuena
11 Y. El-Arabi
33 M. Karbownik
90 V. Sourlis
10 Rony Lopes
22 A. Camara
31 Ö. Kristinsson
2 E. Kinkoue
5 A. Bouchalakis

Coach: Pedro Martins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.