La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ath Madrid
Real Madrid
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | +44 | 81 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
35 | 20 | 9 | 6 | +30 | 69 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
35 | 17 | 14 | 4 | +22 | 65 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +18 | 61 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | +17 | 58 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | +0 | 56 |
| 7 |
Villarreal
|
35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | +21 | 53 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | +7 | 52 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 |
Valencia
|
35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | -4 | 44 |
| 11 |
Celta
|
35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | +3 | 43 |
| 12 |
Vallecano
|
35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -4 | 42 |
| 13 |
Espanol
|
35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | -12 | 40 |
| 14 |
Elche
|
35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | -11 | 39 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | -6 | 37 |
| 16 |
Cadiz
|
35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | -14 | 35 |
| 17 |
Granada
|
35 | 7 | 13 | 15 | -16 | 34 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -30 | 32 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -23 | 29 |
| 20 |
Alaves
|
35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | -32 | 28 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Oblak
G
S. Savić
D
J. Giménez
D
Reinildo
D
G. Kondogbia
M
Koke
M
Marcos Llorente
M
Matheus Cunha
F
Coach: D. Simeone
A. Lunin
G
Vallejo
D
Lucas Vázquez
D
E. Camavinga
M
L. Jović
F
Asensio
F
Coach: C. Ancelotti
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Bilbao
Ath Madrid
Ath Madrid
Granada
Ath Madrid
Espanol
Mallorca
Ath Madrid
Ath Madrid
Alaves
César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.