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Bundesliga

Referee: G Grobelnik

A. Klagenfurt

U T S T U

1–2

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Klagenfurt Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 40%

28%

52%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

62%

72%

Both score Ø 68%

69%

66%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,4

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 23

2 Shots on target 10

4 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 7

7 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match A. Klagenfurt 8. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	29	23	4	2	+53	73
2	Sturm Graz	29	15	8	6	+20	53
3	Wolfsberger AC	29	12	5	12	-5	41
4	SK Rapid	29	10	10	9	+5	40
5	Austria Vienna	29	9	12	8	+2	39
6	Tirol	30	9	10	11	-13	37
7	LASK	30	8	11	11	+0	35
8	A. Klagenfurt	29	8	11	10	-12	35
9	Ried	30	8	11	11	-14	35
10	Hartberg	30	7	11	12	-2	32
11	Admira	30	6	13	11	-5	31
12	Altach	30	5	8	17	-29	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	14	13	1	0	+35	40
2	Sturm Graz	15	9	4	2	+12	31
3	SK Rapid	15	7	4	4	+8	25
4	Ried	15	6	7	2	+4	25
5	Wolfsberger AC	15	7	2	6	+0	23
6	Austria Vienna	14	5	6	3	+5	21
7	LASK	15	5	5	5	+5	20
8	Tirol	15	4	7	4	+4	19
9	A. Klagenfurt	14	4	6	4	-7	18
10	Hartberg	15	3	5	7	-2	14
11	Admira	15	3	4	8	-3	13
12	Altach	15	1	6	8	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	15	10	3	2	+18	33
2	Sturm Graz	14	6	4	4	+8	22
3	Hartberg	15	4	6	5	+0	18
4	Admira	15	3	9	3	-2	18
5	Austria Vienna	15	4	6	5	-3	18
6	Wolfsberger AC	14	5	3	6	-5	18
7	Tirol	15	5	3	7	-17	18
8	A. Klagenfurt	15	4	5	6	-5	17
9	SK Rapid	14	3	6	5	-3	15
10	LASK	15	3	6	6	-5	15
11	Altach	15	4	2	9	-14	14
12	Ried	15	2	4	9	-18	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.