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Super League
Referee: T Bognár
AEK
S S U T S
1–0
Full-time
Panathinaikos
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Super League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 55%
67%
42%
Points per game
2,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
67%
42%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 2. · Panathinaikos 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 12 10 2 0 +14 32
2 AEK 12 8 2 2 +11 26
3 Aris 12 7 2 3 +4 23
4 Aris Thessalonikis 11 6 2 3 +3 20
5 Giannina 12 5 4 3 +12 19
6 PAOK 13 6 1 6 +4 19
7 OFI Crete 13 4 7 2 +2 19
8 Panathinaikos 12 5 2 5 +9 17
9 Ionikos 13 4 4 5 -4 16
10 Volos NFC 13 4 2 7 -5 14
11 Asteras Tripolis 12 3 4 5 +0 13
12 Panetolikos 13 3 2 8 -15 11
13 Lamia 12 2 4 6 -5 10
14 Atromitos 13 2 3 8 -14 9
15 Apollon 13 1 5 7 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. May -21 Panathinaikos – AEK 0–1 21. Apr -21 AEK – Panathinaikos 1–1 28. Feb -21 Panathinaikos – AEK 1–1 6. Dec -20 AEK – Panathinaikos 1–2 12. Jul -20 Panathinaikos – AEK 1–3

Match report

AEK Panathinaikos
1–0 D. Szymański ⚽
M. Mohammadi
2′
Ognjen Vranješ 🟨
6′
André Simões 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–0
Damian Szymański 🟨
48′
61′
🔁 Mateus Vital
↦ Aitor Cantalapiedra
Y. Shakhov 🔁
↦ D. Szymański
65′
S. Zuber 🔁
↦ L. Garcia
65′
69′
🟨 Maurício
73′
🔁 Carlitos López
↦ S. Palacios
73′
🔁 T. Chatzigiovanis
↦ Maurício
D. Le Tallec 🔁
↦ P. Mantalos
84′
84′
🔁 S. Alexandropoulos
↦ L. Villafáñez
E. Hajsafi 🔁
↦ S. Araújo
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
23 C. Stanković G
21 O. Vranješ D
19 C. Michelin D
3 M. Mohammadi D
24 G. Mitoglou D
7 N. Amrabat M
20 P. Mantalos M
8 André Simões M
4 D. Szymański M
11 S. Araújo F
9 L. Garcia F
Bench (9)
28 Y. Shakhov
17 S. Zuber
6 D. Le Tallec
26 E. Hajsafi
12 L. Rota
31 G. Tzavellas
22 M. Tankovic
1 P. Tsintotas
88 D. Jevtić

Coach: A. Giannikis

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
91 A. Brignoli G
4 Fran Vélez D
3 Juan Carlos D
31 Z. Šarlija D
27 G. Kotsiras D
19 L. Villafáñez M
88 Maurício M
17 Rubén Pérez M
9 F. Macheda F
34 S. Palacios F
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra F
Bench (9)
98 Mateus Vital
10 Carlitos López
11 T. Chatzigiovanis
6 S. Alexandropoulos
18 I. Bouzoukis
2 G. Vagiannidis
14 F. Sánchez
24 G. Sideras
1 S. Dioudis

Coach: I. Jovanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
🔒
U
3,38
🔒
B
4,16
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,23
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,63
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Bognár · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.