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LaLiga2
Zaragoza
U S U U T
0–3
Full-time
Alcorcon
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,5
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 19%
26%
11%
Points per game
1,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
24%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,9
2,6
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

20 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 4
12 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 14. · Alcorcon 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 39 23 7 9 +31 76
2 Eibar 39 21 11 7 +14 74
3 Valladolid 39 21 9 9 +22 72
4 Tenerife 38 19 9 10 +20 66
5 Oviedo 39 16 16 7 +16 64
6 Girona 38 19 7 12 +15 64
7 Ponferradina 39 17 12 10 +8 63
8 Las Palmas 39 16 13 10 +6 61
9 Cartagena 39 16 5 18 +0 53
10 Huesca 39 12 15 12 +8 51
11 Ibiza 38 12 15 11 +0 51
12 Burgos 39 14 8 17 -1 50
13 Leganes 39 12 14 13 -3 50
14 Zaragoza 38 10 19 9 -6 49
15 Lugo 38 9 19 10 -4 46
16 Mirandes 39 13 7 19 -10 46
17 Sp Gijon 39 10 12 17 -5 42
18 Malaga 39 10 12 17 -21 42
19 Sociedad B 39 10 10 19 -14 40
20 Amorebieta 39 7 16 16 -16 37
21 Fuenlabrada 39 5 14 20 -24 29
22 Alcorcon 38 4 10 24 -36 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,76
U
3,51
B ✓
4,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.