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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
Luzern
U U S T S
4–0
Full-time
Servette
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Super League · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 29%
19%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
56%
59%
Both score Ø 66%
69%
63%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
18 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Luzern 9. · Servette 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 33 23 6 4 +34 75
2 Basel 32 14 14 4 +28 56
3 Young Boys 33 14 11 8 +24 53
4 Lugano 33 15 5 13 -4 50
5 St. Gallen 33 13 8 12 +5 47
6 Servette 32 12 5 15 -12 41
7 Sion 33 10 7 16 -20 37
8 Grasshoppers 33 8 12 13 -2 36
9 Luzern 32 6 12 14 -19 30
10 Lausanne 32 4 8 20 -34 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Feb -22 Servette – Luzern 1–1 18. Dec -21 Luzern – Servette 0–2 22. Aug -21 Servette – Luzern 4–1 9. May -21 Luzern – Servette 3–0 7. Feb -21 Servette – Luzern 4–2

Match report

Luzern Servette
1–0 Asumah Abubakar ⚽
M. Dräger
38′
Marco Burch 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Ronny Rodelin
Mohamed Dräger 🟨
49′
49′
🟨 Vincent Sasso
D. Sorgić 🔁
↦ M. Kvasina
59′
60′
🔁 D. Oberlin
↦ A. Antunes
60′
🔁 C. Bedia
↦ R. Rodelin
2–0 D. Sorgić ⚽
Asumah Abubakar
66′
70′
🟨 Kastriot Imeri
Filip Ugrinic 🟨
71′
71′
🟨 Kastriot Imeri
71′
🟥 Kastriot Imeri
77′
🔁 T. Valls
↦ T. Cognat
77′
🔁 M. Bauer
↦ M. Diallo
77′
🔁 B. Céspedes
↦ D. Douline
I. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ Asumah Abubakar
78′
79′
🟨 Chris Bedia
N. Čumić 🔁
↦ S. Campo
81′
L. Emini 🔁
↦ C. Gentner
82′
3–0 I. Ndiaye ⚽
N. Čumić
82′
Marvin Schulz 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Dimitri Oberlin
4–0 N. Čumić ⚽
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-1-2
32 M. Müller G
13 M. Frýdek D
2 M. Dräger D
46 M. Burch D
4 C. Gentner M
15 M. Schulz D
10 S. Campo M
19 F. Ugrinic M
30 A. Jashari M
27 M. Kvasina F
21 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (9)
9 D. Sorgić
7 I. Ndiaye
20 N. Čumić
31 L. Emini
16 V. Tasar
11 P. Schürpf
34 S. Sidler
90 V. Vasić
23 S. Alabi

Coach: M. Frick

Servette

4-3-1-2
32 J. Frick G
3 G. Clichy D
23 V. Sasso D
7 M. Diallo D
33 N. Vouilloz D
9 M. Stevanović M
28 D. Douline M
8 T. Cognat M
27 A. Antunes F
17 K. Imeri M
12 R. Rodelin F
Bench (9)
14 D. Oberlin
29 C. Bedia
15 T. Valls
26 M. Bauer
5 B. Céspedes
22 R. Azevedo
19 Y. Severin
4 S. Rouiller
40 E. Omeragic

Coach: A. Geiger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.