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Super League

Referee: António Nobre

Panathinaikos

T T S S T

3–0

Full-time

AEK

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Super League · 26/25 matches

Win Ø 51%

46%

56%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

38%

64%

Both score Ø 42%

31%

52%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

55% Possession 45%

9 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 22

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 7. · AEK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	24	19	5	0	+29	62
2	PAOK	26	15	5	6	+23	50
3	AEK	25	14	3	8	+16	45
4	Giannina	26	12	6	8	+10	42
5	Aris Thessalonikis	25	12	6	7	+6	42
6	Aris	25	12	6	7	+6	42
7	Panathinaikos	26	12	3	11	+16	39
8	OFI Crete	26	8	12	6	+1	36
9	Asteras Tripolis	26	10	5	11	+0	35
10	Volos NFC	26	9	5	12	-5	32
11	Ionikos	27	7	8	12	-7	29
12	Panetolikos	27	8	5	14	-19	29
13	Lamia	26	4	7	15	-16	19
14	Atromitos	25	4	5	16	-26	17
15	Apollon	26	2	9	15	-34	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	12	10	2	0	+14	32
2	Panathinaikos	13	9	2	2	+20	29
3	PAOK	14	8	3	3	+11	27
4	AEK	12	8	0	4	+11	24
5	Giannina	13	7	3	3	+6	24
6	Aris Thessalonikis	12	6	4	2	+4	22
7	Aris	12	6	4	2	+4	22
8	Asteras Tripolis	14	7	1	6	+2	22
9	Ionikos	13	5	4	4	+2	19
10	OFI Crete	13	4	6	3	-1	18
11	Volos NFC	13	5	1	7	-4	16
12	Panetolikos	14	4	3	7	-6	15
13	Atromitos	12	4	2	6	-3	14
14	Apollon	13	1	7	5	-10	10
15	Lamia	13	2	3	8	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	12	9	3	0	+15	30
2	PAOK	12	7	2	3	+12	23
3	AEK	13	6	3	4	+5	21
4	Aris Thessalonikis	13	6	2	5	+2	20
5	Aris	13	6	2	5	+2	20
6	Giannina	13	5	3	5	+4	18
7	OFI Crete	13	4	6	3	+2	18
8	Volos NFC	13	4	4	5	-1	16
9	Panetolikos	13	4	2	7	-13	14
10	Asteras Tripolis	12	3	4	5	-2	13
11	Panathinaikos	13	3	1	9	-4	10
12	Lamia	13	2	4	7	-7	10
13	Ionikos	14	2	4	8	-9	10
14	Apollon	13	1	2	10	-24	5
15	Atromitos	13	0	3	10	-23	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.