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Eliteserien
Referee: E Eskås
Bodo/Glimt
S U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodo/Glimt Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,5
This season — Eliteserien · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 65%
50%
80%
Points per game
1,8
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
75%
60%
Both score Ø 58%
75%
40%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
20 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
17 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bodo/Glimt 4. · Lillestrom 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Viking 6 5 0 1 +8 15
2 Lillestrom 5 4 1 0 +8 13
3 Sarpsborg 08 5 3 1 1 +4 10
4 Bodo/Glimt 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Molde 5 2 1 2 +1 7
6 Aalesund 5 2 1 2 -1 7
7 Sandefjord 4 2 0 2 +3 6
8 Rosenborg 4 1 3 0 +1 6
9 Odd 5 2 0 3 +0 6
10 Valerenga 4 2 0 2 -3 6
11 Jerv 4 2 0 2 -3 6
12 Ham-Kam 4 1 2 1 +2 5
13 Tromso 4 1 1 2 -4 4
14 Stromsgodset 4 1 0 3 -7 3
15 Kristiansund 4 0 1 3 -3 1
16 Haugesund 5 0 0 5 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bodo/Glimt Lillestrom
32′
A. Adams 0–1
G. Åsen
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Y. Ibrahimaj
↦ T. Svendsen
A. Konradsen 🔁
↦ S. Fet
50′
56′
🟨 Ifeanyi Mathew
B. Wembangomo 🔁
↦ J. Sery
69′
G. Koomson 🔁
↦ S. Sørli
69′
Hugo Vetlesen 🟨
71′
73′
🟨 Tom Pettersson
J. Mvuka 🔁
↦ A. Konradsen
82′
1–1 A. Sampsted
A. Pellegrino
82′
85′
🟨 Magnus Knudsen
86′
🔁 F. Holst
↦ M. Knudsen
86′
🔁 H. Friðjónsson
↦ A. Adams
Marius Hoibraten 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
12 N. Haikin G
4 M. Høibråten D
18 B. Moe D
3 A. Sampsted D
2 J. Sery D
19 S. Fet M
10 H. Vetlesen M
23 E. Hagen M
7 A. Pellegrino F
27 S. Sørli F
24 L. Nordås F
Bench (9)
15 A. Konradsen
5 B. Wembangomo
77 G. Koomson
32 J. Mvuka
17 G. Vetti
6 I. Amundsen
20 F. Sjøvold
22 J. Smits
11 R. Espejord

Coach: K. Knutsen

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
24 T. Pettersson D
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen F
8 I. Mathew M
14 M. Knudsen M
25 E. Edh M
11 T. Svendsen F
9 A. Adams F
Bench (8)
20 Y. Ibrahimaj
77 F. Holst
21 H. Friðjónsson
26 D. Murugesapillai
3 C. Rösler
1 K. Skjærstein
2 L. Ranger
15 E. Taylor

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.