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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Angers
U U T U T
4–1
Full-time
Bordeaux
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 19%
23%
14%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
46%
66%
Both score Ø 63%
57%
69%
Average goals
2,6
3,8
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 15. · Bordeaux 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 35 24 7 4 +45 79
2 Monaco 36 19 8 9 +23 65
3 Marseille 35 19 8 8 +20 65
4 Rennes 35 19 5 11 +41 62
5 Nice 35 18 7 10 +15 61
6 Strasbourg 36 16 12 8 +20 60
7 Lyon 36 15 11 10 +13 56
8 Lens 35 15 10 10 +11 55
9 Nantes 35 14 9 12 +7 51
10 Lille 36 13 12 11 -2 51
11 Brest 36 13 9 14 -4 48
12 Reims 35 10 13 12 +0 43
13 Montpellier 35 12 7 16 -5 43
14 Troyes 35 9 9 17 -14 36
15 Angers 35 8 11 16 -15 35
16 Lorient 35 8 10 17 -25 34
17 Clermont 35 8 9 18 -30 33
18 St Etienne 35 7 10 18 -32 31
19 Metz 36 5 13 18 -30 28
20 Bordeaux 35 5 12 18 -38 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Bordeaux
1–0 M. Cho
Mathias Lage
5′
2–0 B. Mendy
A. Fulgini
36′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🟨 Josuha Guilavogui
56′
🟨 Anel Ahmedhodžić
58′
🔁 S. Mara
↦ G. Mensah
58′
🔁 E. Kwateng
↦ Marcelo
58′
🔁 Hwang Ui-Jo
↦ R. Oudin
60′
🟨 Sékou Mara
60′
S. Mara 2–1
J. Dilrosun
3–1 S. Bahoken
M. Cho
62′
65′
🔁 Y. Adli
↦ J. Onana
T. Mangani 🔁
↦ B. Mendy
69′
M. Jakoliš 🔁
↦ M. Cho
69′
A. Ounahi 🔁
↦ S. Bahoken
75′
77′
🟨 Javairô Dilrosun
77′
🔁 D. Bakwa
↦ M. Niang
Angelo Fulgini 🟨
78′
89′
🟨 Yacine Adli
4–1 Mathias Lage
I. Traoré
90′
N. Fatar 🔁
↦ S. Doumbia
92′
A. Bamba 🔁
↦ Mathias Lage
92′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Angers

5-3-2
16 A. Mandrea G
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 S. Doumbia D
6 E. Ebosse D
2 B. Mendy M
23 N. Bentaleb M
10 A. Fulgini M
27 Mathias Lage D
19 S. Bahoken F
21 M. Cho F
Bench (9)
5 T. Mangani
22 M. Jakoliš
18 A. Ounahi
17 N. Fatar
25 A. Bamba
33 A. Kalla
26 W. Taibi
30 D. Petković
9 C. Ninga

Coach: G. Baticle

Bordeaux

3-4-1-2
1 B. Costil G
15 Marcelo D
12 Ricardo Mangas M
5 A. Ahmedhodzic D
14 G. Mensah M
23 J. Guilavogui D
13 Fransérgio M
21 J. Dilrosun F
8 J. Onana M
10 M. Niang F
28 R. Oudin F
Bench (9)
11 S. Mara
25 E. Kwateng
18 Hwang Ui-Jo
19 Y. Adli
32 D. Bakwa
7 J. Briand
16 G. Poussin
27 T. Lacoux
24 P. Baysse

Coach: D. Guion

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
3,48
B
3,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,85
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.