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Super League

Referee: N Dabanović

Panathinaikos

U U U S U

1–0

Full-time

Olympiakos

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Olympiakos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

1,2

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Super League · 33/32 matches

Win Ø 59%

45%

72%

Points per game

1,6

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

36%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

30%

53%

Average goals

2,1

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

0,7

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

4 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 5. · Olympiakos 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	32	23	7	2	+35	76
2	PAOK	33	18	6	9	+24	60
3	Aris Thessalonikis	31	15	8	8	+8	53
4	Aris	31	15	8	8	+8	53
5	Panathinaikos	33	15	7	11	+22	52
6	AEK	33	15	6	12	+11	51
7	Giannina	33	13	11	9	+10	50
8	OFI Crete	32	10	13	9	+0	43
9	Asteras Tripolis	32	11	7	14	-4	40
10	Ionikos	32	10	9	13	-5	39
11	Volos NFC	32	10	8	14	-5	38
12	Panetolikos	32	9	6	17	-21	33
13	Atromitos	32	8	7	17	-23	31
14	Lamia	32	5	7	20	-23	22
15	Apollon	32	4	10	18	-37	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	17	14	3	0	+22	45
2	Panathinaikos	16	11	3	2	+24	36
3	PAOK	15	9	3	3	+12	30
4	Aris Thessalonikis	16	8	6	2	+6	30
5	Aris	16	8	6	2	+6	30
6	Giannina	16	8	5	3	+7	29
7	AEK	17	9	1	7	+9	28
8	Asteras Tripolis	16	7	2	7	+1	23
9	OFI Crete	16	5	6	5	-1	21
10	Atromitos	16	6	3	7	-3	21
11	Ionikos	15	5	5	5	+1	20
12	Volos NFC	16	6	2	8	-3	20
13	Panetolikos	17	4	4	9	-8	16
14	Apollon	16	2	8	6	-11	14
15	Lamia	16	2	3	11	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	15	9	4	2	+13	31
2	PAOK	18	9	3	6	+12	30
3	AEK	16	6	5	5	+2	23
4	Aris Thessalonikis	15	7	2	6	+2	23
5	Aris	15	7	2	6	+2	23
6	OFI Crete	16	5	7	4	+1	22
7	Giannina	17	5	6	6	+3	21
8	Ionikos	17	5	4	8	-6	19
9	Volos NFC	16	4	6	6	-2	18
10	Asteras Tripolis	16	4	5	7	-5	17
11	Panetolikos	15	5	2	8	-13	17
12	Panathinaikos	17	4	4	9	-2	16
13	Lamia	16	3	4	9	-10	13
14	Atromitos	16	2	4	10	-20	10
15	Apollon	16	2	2	12	-26	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.