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Eliteserien

Referee: O Nilsen

Jerv

U S T S T

1–1

Full-time

Tromso

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jerv Tromso

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

This season — Eliteserien · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 38%

75%

Average goals

1,8

4,0

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

8 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jerv 11. · Tromso 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	6	5	0	1	+8	15
2	Lillestrom	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Sarpsborg 08	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Molde	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Aalesund	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	+3	6
8	Rosenborg	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Odd	5	2	0	3	+0	6
10	Valerenga	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	Jerv	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	Ham-Kam	4	1	2	1	+2	5
13	Tromso	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Stromsgodset	4	1	0	3	-7	3
15	Kristiansund	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Haugesund	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Lillestrom	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Odd	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Valerenga	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Jerv	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Ham-Kam	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Aalesund	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Rosenborg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Molde	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Tromso	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Kristiansund	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Haugesund	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Stromsgodset	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sandefjord	3	2	0	1	+4	6
2	Sarpsborg 08	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Viking	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Molde	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Lillestrom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Aalesund	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Rosenborg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Ham-Kam	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Tromso	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Odd	2	0	0	2	-2	0
13	Kristiansund	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	Valerenga	2	0	0	2	-5	0
15	Jerv	2	0	0	2	-5	0
16	Haugesund	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.