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Super League

Referee: Ə Ağayev

Panathinaikos

U S U S S

1–0

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

0,8

1,7

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

0,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Super League · 35/31 matches

Win Ø 49%

49%

48%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

34%

32%

Both score Ø 29%

29%

Average goals

2,1

1,8

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

9 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 3. · Aris Thessalonikis 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	34	24	7	3	+35	79
2	PAOK	33	18	6	9	+24	60
3	Panathinaikos	35	17	7	11	+24	58
4	AEK	34	16	6	12	+12	54
5	Aris Thessalonikis	31	15	8	8	+8	53
6	Aris	32	15	8	9	+7	53
7	Giannina	35	13	11	11	+8	50
8	OFI Crete	33	10	13	10	-1	43
9	Asteras Tripolis	32	11	7	14	-4	40
10	Volos NFC	33	10	9	14	-5	39
11	Ionikos	32	10	9	13	-5	39
12	Panetolikos	33	10	6	17	-20	36
13	Atromitos	33	8	8	17	-23	32
14	Lamia	32	5	7	20	-23	22
15	Apollon	32	4	10	18	-37	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	18	15	3	0	+23	48
2	Panathinaikos	18	13	3	2	+26	42
3	PAOK	15	9	3	3	+12	30
4	Aris Thessalonikis	16	8	6	2	+6	30
5	Aris	16	8	6	2	+6	30
6	Giannina	17	8	5	4	+6	29
7	AEK	17	9	1	7	+9	28
8	Asteras Tripolis	16	7	2	7	+1	23
9	OFI Crete	17	5	6	6	-2	21
10	Atromitos	16	6	3	7	-3	21
11	Volos NFC	17	6	3	8	-3	21
12	Ionikos	15	5	5	5	+1	20
13	Panetolikos	17	4	4	9	-8	16
14	Apollon	16	2	8	6	-11	14
15	Lamia	16	2	3	11	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	9	4	3	+12	31
2	PAOK	18	9	3	6	+12	30
3	AEK	17	7	5	5	+3	26
4	Aris Thessalonikis	15	7	2	6	+2	23
5	Aris	16	7	2	7	+1	23
6	OFI Crete	16	5	7	4	+1	22
7	Giannina	18	5	6	7	+2	21
8	Panetolikos	16	6	2	8	-12	20
9	Ionikos	17	5	4	8	-6	19
10	Volos NFC	16	4	6	6	-2	18
11	Asteras Tripolis	16	4	5	7	-5	17
12	Panathinaikos	17	4	4	9	-2	16
13	Lamia	16	3	4	9	-10	13
14	Atromitos	17	2	5	10	-20	11
15	Apollon	16	2	2	12	-26	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.