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Super League

Referee: E Aranovskiy

Panathinaikos

T T U U U

0–1

Full-time

AEK

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

This season — Super League · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 46%

42%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

36%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,1

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

4 Shots 3

2 Shots on target 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 22

5 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 6. · AEK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	38	28	8	2	+61	92
2	PAOK	38	20	11	7	+30	71
3	AEK	36	18	7	11	+8	61
4	Aris Thessalonikis	34	17	8	9	+15	59
5	Aris	34	17	8	9	+15	59
6	Panathinaikos	36	15	10	11	+10	55
7	Asteras Tripolis	38	12	15	11	-5	51
8	Volos NFC	34	10	13	11	-5	43
9	Giannina	33	9	10	14	-5	37
10	Atromitos	34	7	14	13	-14	35
11	Lamia	34	8	11	15	-22	35
12	Apollon	33	8	7	18	-14	31
13	OFI Crete	34	8	7	19	-21	31
14	Panetolikos	34	6	10	18	-25	28
15	Larisa	34	5	9	20	-28	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	19	17	2	0	+39	53
2	PAOK	19	12	7	0	+27	43
3	Asteras Tripolis	19	8	8	3	+4	32
4	Aris Thessalonikis	17	9	3	5	+8	30
5	Aris	17	9	3	5	+8	30
6	Panathinaikos	18	8	5	5	+8	29
7	AEK	18	7	5	6	+1	26
8	Volos NFC	18	6	6	6	+0	24
9	Atromitos	17	4	8	5	-2	20
10	Panetolikos	17	5	3	9	-9	18
11	Lamia	17	4	6	7	-9	18
12	Giannina	17	4	5	8	-5	17
13	Apollon	17	4	3	10	-9	15
14	OFI Crete	16	3	4	9	-14	13
15	Larisa	16	1	6	9	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	19	11	6	2	+22	39
2	AEK	18	11	2	5	+7	35
3	Aris Thessalonikis	17	8	5	4	+7	29
4	Aris	17	8	5	4	+7	29
5	PAOK	19	8	4	7	+3	28
6	Panathinaikos	18	7	5	6	+2	26
7	Giannina	16	5	5	6	+0	20
8	Volos NFC	16	4	7	5	-5	19
9	Asteras Tripolis	19	4	7	8	-9	19
10	OFI Crete	18	5	3	10	-7	18
11	Lamia	17	4	5	8	-13	17
12	Apollon	16	4	4	8	-5	16
13	Atromitos	17	3	6	8	-12	15
14	Larisa	18	4	3	11	-13	15
15	Panetolikos	17	1	7	9	-16	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.