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Super League

Referee: B Madden

AEK

S U T U T

1–2

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

This season — Super League · 32/29 matches

Win Ø 46%

47%

45%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

59%

31%

Both score Ø 42%

56%

28%

Average goals

2,6

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 4

4 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 4. · Aris Thessalonikis 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	32	23	7	2	+35	76
2	PAOK	31	18	6	7	+26	60
3	Panathinaikos	33	15	7	11	+22	52
4	AEK	32	15	6	11	+12	51
5	Giannina	33	13	11	9	+10	50
6	Aris	30	14	8	8	+7	50
7	Aris Thessalonikis	29	13	8	8	+6	47
8	OFI Crete	31	10	12	9	+0	42
9	Asteras Tripolis	31	11	6	14	-4	39
10	Volos NFC	31	10	7	14	-5	37
11	Ionikos	31	9	9	13	-6	36
12	Panetolikos	31	9	5	17	-21	32
13	Atromitos	31	8	6	17	-23	30
14	Lamia	31	5	7	19	-22	22
15	Apollon	31	4	9	18	-37	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	17	14	3	0	+22	45
2	Panathinaikos	16	11	3	2	+24	36
3	PAOK	15	9	3	3	+12	30
4	Giannina	16	8	5	3	+7	29
5	AEK	16	9	1	6	+10	28
6	Aris Thessalonikis	15	7	6	2	+5	27
7	Aris	15	7	6	2	+5	27
8	Asteras Tripolis	16	7	2	7	+1	23
9	OFI Crete	16	5	6	5	-1	21
10	Ionikos	15	5	5	5	+1	20
11	Atromitos	15	6	2	7	-3	20
12	Volos NFC	16	6	2	8	-3	20
13	Panetolikos	16	4	3	9	-8	15
14	Apollon	15	2	7	6	-11	13
15	Lamia	15	2	3	10	-12	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	15	9	4	2	+13	31
2	PAOK	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	AEK	16	6	5	5	+2	23
4	Aris	15	7	2	6	+2	23
5	Giannina	17	5	6	6	+3	21
6	OFI Crete	15	5	6	4	+1	21
7	Aris Thessalonikis	14	6	2	6	+1	20
8	Volos NFC	15	4	5	6	-2	17
9	Panetolikos	15	5	2	8	-13	17
10	Panathinaikos	17	4	4	9	-2	16
11	Asteras Tripolis	15	4	4	7	-5	16
12	Ionikos	16	4	4	8	-7	16
13	Lamia	16	3	4	9	-10	13
14	Atromitos	16	2	4	10	-20	10
15	Apollon	16	2	2	12	-26	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.