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Super League

Referee: G Kabakov

PAOK

S S T T T

1–1

Full-time

AEK

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,5

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — Super League · 33/34 matches

Win Ø 51%

55%

47%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

42%

62%

Both score Ø 51%

42%

59%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%

8 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 4

0 Offside 7

12 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 3. · AEK 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	34	24	7	3	+35	79
2	Panathinaikos	36	18	7	11	+25	61
3	PAOK	33	18	6	9	+24	60
4	AEK	34	16	6	12	+12	54
5	Aris Thessalonikis	32	15	8	9	+7	53
6	Aris	32	15	8	9	+7	53
7	Giannina	35	13	11	11	+8	50
8	OFI Crete	33	10	13	10	-1	43
9	Asteras Tripolis	32	11	7	14	-4	40
10	Volos NFC	33	10	9	14	-5	39
11	Ionikos	32	10	9	13	-5	39
12	Panetolikos	33	10	6	17	-20	36
13	Atromitos	33	8	8	17	-23	32
14	Lamia	32	5	7	20	-23	22
15	Apollon	32	4	10	18	-37	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	18	15	3	0	+23	48
2	Panathinaikos	19	14	3	2	+27	45
3	PAOK	15	9	3	3	+12	30
4	Aris Thessalonikis	16	8	6	2	+6	30
5	Aris	16	8	6	2	+6	30
6	Giannina	17	8	5	4	+6	29
7	AEK	17	9	1	7	+9	28
8	Asteras Tripolis	16	7	2	7	+1	23
9	OFI Crete	17	5	6	6	-2	21
10	Atromitos	16	6	3	7	-3	21
11	Volos NFC	17	6	3	8	-3	21
12	Ionikos	15	5	5	5	+1	20
13	Panetolikos	17	4	4	9	-8	16
14	Apollon	16	2	8	6	-11	14
15	Lamia	16	2	3	11	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	9	4	3	+12	31
2	PAOK	18	9	3	6	+12	30
3	AEK	17	7	5	5	+3	26
4	Aris Thessalonikis	16	7	2	7	+1	23
5	Aris	16	7	2	7	+1	23
6	OFI Crete	16	5	7	4	+1	22
7	Giannina	18	5	6	7	+2	21
8	Panetolikos	16	6	2	8	-12	20
9	Ionikos	17	5	4	8	-6	19
10	Volos NFC	16	4	6	6	-2	18
11	Asteras Tripolis	16	4	5	7	-5	17
12	Panathinaikos	17	4	4	9	-2	16
13	Lamia	16	3	4	9	-10	13
14	Atromitos	17	2	5	10	-20	11
15	Apollon	16	2	2	12	-26	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.