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Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice
U S S S S
1–2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 53%
45%
61%
Points per game
1,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
35%
48%
Both score Ø 44%
45%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Piast Gliwice 5. · Lech Poznan 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 32 19 9 4 +28 66
2 Lech Poznan 31 19 8 4 +40 65
3 Pogon Szczecin 32 18 9 5 +32 63
4 Lechia Gdansk 32 16 8 8 +16 56
5 Piast Gliwice 31 14 8 9 +8 50
6 Wisla Plock 32 14 3 15 -3 45
7 Radomiak Radom 32 10 14 8 +0 44
8 Cracovia 32 11 10 11 -2 43
9 Gornik Zabrze 32 11 8 13 -3 41
10 Warta Poznan 32 10 9 13 -3 39
11 Legia 32 12 3 17 -5 39
12 Stal Mielec 32 9 9 14 -10 36
13 Jagiellonia 32 8 12 12 -12 36
14 Zaglebie 32 10 5 17 -16 35
15 Slask Wroclaw 32 7 13 12 -9 34
16 Wisla 32 7 10 15 -14 31
17 Nieciecza 31 7 9 15 -19 30
18 Leczna 31 6 9 16 -28 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.