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Super League
Panathinaikos
U U S U S
1–0
Full-time
Aris
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,0
1,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Super League · 34/31 matches
Win Ø 48%
47%
48%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
35%
32%
Both score Ø 29%
29%
29%
Average goals
2,1
1,8
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 3
12 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Panathinaikos 3. · Aris 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 34 24 7 3 +35 79
2 PAOK 33 18 6 9 +24 60
3 Panathinaikos 34 16 7 11 +23 55
4 AEK 34 16 6 12 +12 54
5 Aris Thessalonikis 31 15 8 8 +8 53
6 Aris 31 15 8 8 +8 53
7 Giannina 35 13 11 11 +8 50
8 OFI Crete 33 10 13 10 -1 43
9 Asteras Tripolis 32 11 7 14 -4 40
10 Volos NFC 33 10 9 14 -5 39
11 Ionikos 32 10 9 13 -5 39
12 Panetolikos 33 10 6 17 -20 36
13 Atromitos 33 8 8 17 -23 32
14 Lamia 32 5 7 20 -23 22
15 Apollon 32 4 10 18 -37 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
2,90
B
4,09
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,79
U2,5 ✓
1,41
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.