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Süper Lig

Referee: Cagdas Altay

Erzurumspor

T T T S T

0–4

Full-time

Galatasaray

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzurumspor Galatasaray

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

3,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,48 xG 3,08

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzurumspor 18. · Galatasaray 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Amedspor	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.3	3
2	Buyuksehyr	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
3	Genclerbirligi	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.7	3
4	Rizespor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
5	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
6	Samsunspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
7	Goztep	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
8	Galatasaray	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.3	1
9	Corum	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
10	Kasimpasa	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
11	Trabzonspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
12	Gaziantep	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
13	Alanyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
14	Fenerbahce	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
15	Konyaspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
16	Eyüpspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
17	Kocaelispor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
18	Erzurumspor	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Amedspor	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.3	3
2	Buyuksehyr	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
3	Genclerbirligi	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.7	3
4	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
5	Samsunspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
6	Galatasaray	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.3	1
7	Kasimpasa	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
8	Gaziantep	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
9	Konyaspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rizespor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
2	Goztep	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
3	Corum	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
4	Trabzonspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
5	Alanyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
6	Fenerbahce	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
7	Eyüpspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
8	Kocaelispor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
9	Erzurumspor	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.