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Süper Lig
Referee: O Ergun
Trabzonspor
S S U U T
1–1
Full-time
Goztep
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Goztep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 52%
61%
42%
Points per game
2,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
55%
39%
Both score Ø 55%
68%
42%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,79 xG 1,54
58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 22
6 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Trabzonspor 3. · Goztep 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 31 23 5 3 +49 +32.6 74
2 Fenerbahce 31 19 10 2 +35 +30.4 67
3 Trabzonspor 31 19 8 4 +24 +9.7 65
4 Besiktas 32 17 8 7 +20 +26.1 59
5 Buyuksehyr 31 14 9 8 +21 +7.5 51
6 Goztep 31 13 12 6 +12 +8.4 51
7 Samsunspor 31 11 12 8 -2 +6.3 45
8 Rizespor 32 10 10 12 -2 -0.4 40
9 Konyaspor 32 10 10 12 -3 -1.7 40
10 Gaziantep 32 9 10 13 -13 -3.6 37
11 Kocaelispor 31 9 9 13 -10 -2.0 36
12 Alanyaspor 31 6 15 10 -1 -9.4 33
13 Kasimpasa 31 7 10 14 -16 -14.6 31
14 Genclerbirligi 31 7 7 17 -14 -18.6 28
15 Eyüpspor 31 7 7 17 -19 -18.5 28
16 Antalyaspor 31 7 7 17 -21 -23.8 28
17 Kayserispor 31 5 11 15 -34 -14.3 26
18 Karagumruk 31 5 6 20 -26 -14.2 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Goztep
Benjamin Bouchouari 🟨
25′
32′
Juan Santos 0–1
A. Kurtulan
Mustafa Eskihellaç 🟨
40′
Mustafa Eskihellaç 🟨
42′
Mustafa Eskihellaç 🟥
42′
Half-time 0–1
C. Inao Oulai 🔁
↦ E. Muci
46′
57′
🟨 Alexis Antunes
68′
🟨 Janderson
O. Zubkov 🔁
↦ B. Bouchouari
69′
M. Lovik 🔁
↦ S. Malkocoglu
69′
76′
🔁 M. Mohammed
↦ A. Dennis
76′
🔁 F. Krastev
↦ A. Antunes
Wagner Pina 🟨
80′
81′
🟨 Arda Kurtulan
84′
🟨 Héliton
U. Nayir 🔁
↦ Felipe Augusto
85′
88′
🔁 Guilherme Luiz
↦ Juan Santos
88′
🔁 Jeh
↦ Janderson
1–1 U. Nayir
M. Lovik
90′
Christ Inao Oulaï 🟨
96′
96′
🔁 T. Altikardes
↦ N. Miroshi
Paul Onuachu 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

3-4-2-1
24 A. Onana G
11 O. Tufan D
27 C. Nwaiwu D
74 S. Malkocoglu D
20 W. Pina M
8 B. Bouchouari M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
19 M. Eskihellac M
10 E. Muci F
99 Felipe Augusto F
30 P. Onuachu F
Bench (8)
88 A. Yildirim
25 O. Cevikkan
9 A. Nwakaeme
18 U. Nayir
22 O. Zubkov
14 M. Lovik
42 C. Inao Oulai
17 O. Cakiroglu

Coach: Fatih Tekke

Goztep

3-4-1-2
1 M. Lis G
3 Allan Godoi D
5 Heliton D
26 M. Bokele D
2 A. Kurtulan M
30 A. Dennis M
20 N. Miroshi M
15 A. Cherni M
8 A. Antunes F
9 Juan Santos F
39 Janderson F
Bench (9)
33 S. Ozturk
12 I. Koybasi
77 O. Bayrak
6 M. Mohammed
14 Guilherme Luiz
10 F. Krastev
22 U. Yildiz
4 T. Altikardes
19 Jeh

Coach: Stanimir Stoilov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,76
U ✓
3,63
B
4,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Ergun · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.