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Süper Lig

Referee: A D Kayatepe

Kasimpasa

U S T U T

1–0

Full-time

Galatasaray

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Galatasaray

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 47%

21%

73%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

45%

70%

Both score Ø 57%

55%

58%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,65 xG 0,55

29% Possession 71%

5 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kasimpasa 14. · Galatasaray 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	33	24	5	4	+48	+35.9	77
2	Fenerbahce	33	21	10	2	+40	+34.2	73
3	Trabzonspor	33	20	9	4	+25	+7.4	69
4	Besiktas	34	17	9	8	+19	+26.6	60
5	Buyuksehyr	34	16	9	9	+23	+10.9	57
6	Goztep	34	14	13	7	+10	+10.6	55
7	Samsunspor	34	13	12	9	+1	+3.7	51
8	Rizespor	34	10	11	13	-6	-0.2	41
9	Konyaspor	34	10	10	14	-7	-4.5	40
10	Alanyaspor	34	7	16	11	+0	-9.5	37
11	Kocaelispor	34	9	10	15	-12	-3.2	37
12	Gaziantep	34	9	10	15	-15	-6.5	37
13	Eyüpspor	33	8	8	17	-15	-18.2	32
14	Kasimpasa	33	7	11	15	-17	-14.3	32
15	Antalyaspor	34	8	8	18	-22	-27.4	32
16	Genclerbirligi	33	8	7	18	-14	-17.4	31
17	Karagumruk	34	8	6	20	-23	-14.5	30
18	Kayserispor	34	6	12	16	-35	-13.7	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	17	13	4	0	+32	+26.3	43
2	Fenerbahce	16	11	5	0	+21	+24.6	38
3	Trabzonspor	16	9	6	1	+14	+7.2	33
4	Besiktas	17	9	4	4	+10	+19.4	31
5	Goztep	17	8	7	2	+10	+10.5	31
6	Buyuksehyr	17	8	6	3	+16	+6.4	30
7	Samsunspor	17	7	7	3	+5	+6.5	28
8	Rizespor	17	8	3	6	+1	+7.6	27
9	Genclerbirligi	17	7	4	6	+0	-1.2	25
10	Konyaspor	17	6	6	5	+2	+1.1	24
11	Alanyaspor	17	6	5	6	+6	-2.3	23
12	Kocaelispor	17	6	5	6	+2	+7.1	23
13	Karagumruk	17	6	3	8	-5	-1.0	21
14	Gaziantep	17	5	5	7	-5	+3.3	20
15	Eyüpspor	17	5	4	8	-2	-3.5	19
16	Antalyaspor	17	5	4	8	-11	-6.6	19
17	Kayserispor	17	5	4	8	-17	-1.5	19
18	Kasimpasa	16	4	6	6	-5	-0.0	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	17	11	3	3	+11	+0.3	36
2	Fenerbahce	17	10	5	2	+19	+9.6	35
3	Galatasaray	16	11	1	4	+16	+9.6	34
4	Besiktas	17	8	5	4	+9	+7.2	29
5	Buyuksehyr	17	8	3	6	+7	+4.5	27
6	Goztep	17	6	6	5	+0	+0.1	24
7	Samsunspor	17	6	5	6	-4	-2.8	23
8	Gaziantep	17	4	5	8	-10	-9.8	17
9	Konyaspor	17	4	4	9	-9	-5.6	16
10	Alanyaspor	17	1	11	5	-6	-7.2	14
11	Rizespor	17	2	8	7	-7	-7.8	14
12	Kasimpasa	17	3	5	9	-12	-14.2	14
13	Kocaelispor	17	3	5	9	-14	-10.2	14
14	Antalyaspor	17	3	4	10	-11	-20.8	13
15	Eyüpspor	16	3	4	9	-13	-14.7	13
16	Kayserispor	17	1	8	8	-18	-12.2	11
17	Karagumruk	17	2	3	12	-18	-13.5	9
18	Genclerbirligi	16	1	3	12	-14	-16.2	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.