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Süper Lig
Referee: M Erdoğan
İstanbulspor
T T T S T
2–4
Full-time
Pendikspor
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

İstanbulspor Pendikspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 11%
11%
10%
Points per game
0,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
33%
60%
Both score Ø 68%
56%
80%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,90 xG 3,47
54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 22
4 Shots on target 11
2 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match İstanbulspor 19. · Pendikspor 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 11 10 1 0 +15 +15.3 31
2 Fenerbahce 10 10 0 0 +24 +20.6 30
3 Ad. Demirspor 10 6 2 2 +11 +5.7 20
4 Besiktas 10 6 1 3 +4 +4.7 19
5 Kasimpasa 11 5 3 3 -1 -4.0 18
6 Trabzonspor 10 5 1 4 +5 +0.1 16
7 Kayserispor 10 4 4 2 +2 -1.7 16
8 Hatayspor 10 3 5 2 +4 +3.7 14
9 Rizespor 10 4 2 4 -5 -5.7 14
10 Sivasspor 10 3 4 3 -1 -0.9 13
11 Ankaragücü 10 3 3 4 +3 -1.0 12
12 Antalyaspor 10 3 3 4 -1 -0.1 12
13 Karagumruk 10 2 4 4 +0 -5.5 10
14 Alanyaspor 10 2 4 4 -4 -0.5 10
15 Konyaspor 10 2 3 5 -6 -4.8 9
16 Gaziantep 10 3 0 7 -10 -6.8 9
17 Buyuksehyr 10 2 2 6 -7 -4.1 8
18 Pendikspor 10 1 4 5 -13 -6.9 7
19 İstanbulspor 9 1 2 6 -9 -7.8 5
20 Samsunspor 9 0 2 7 -11 -0.1 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

İstanbulspor Pendikspor
30′
E. Yardımcı 0–1
Welinton
1–1 A. Ndao
E. Rroca
40′
Half-time 1–1
M. Mamadou 🔁
↦ Jackson
46′
E. Gültekin 🔁
↦ D. Traoré
46′
48′
Welinton 1–2
E. Çekiçi
Muammer Sarıkaya 🟨
52′
60′
Welinton 1–3
A. Lusamba
63′
🟨 İbrahim Akdağ
69′
🔁 J. Vuković
↦ E. Çekiçi
69′
🔁 G. Bitin
↦ E. Yardımcı
T. Şamdanlı 🔁
↦ M. Sarıkaya
75′
G. Imbula 🔁
↦ M. Yeşil
75′
75′
🔁 G. Kaya
↦ H. Akbunar
75′
🔁 Thuram
↦ A. Diaby
K. Köylü 🔁
↦ A. Yaşar
83′
83′
Thuram 1–4
85′
ℹ️ Gorkem Bitin
VAR: Goal confirmed
86′
🔁 A. Öztürk
↦ Welinton
88′
🟨 Thuram
2–4 E. Rroca
K. Köylü
89′
93′
🟨 Gorkem Bitin
Eduart Rroca 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

İstanbulspor

4-2-3-1
1 D. Jensen G
21 D. Duhaney D
23 O. Erdoğan D
4 M. Yeşil D
66 A. Yaşar D
24 M. Sarıkaya M
34 F. Loshaj M
18 A. Ndao M
10 E. Rroca M
99 Jackson M
88 D. Traoré F
Bench (10)
12 M. Mamadou
19 E. Gültekin
41 T. Şamdanlı
16 G. Imbula
11 K. Köylü
7 D. Sambissa
6 M. Vorobjovas
28 B. Kırtaş
59 A. Arda
20 Ö. Şahan

Coach: F. Tekke

Pendikspor

4-2-3-1
1 E. Canpolat G
22 E. Özgenç D
20 B. Sülüngöz D
23 Welinton D
6 Nuno Sequeira D
66 A. Lusamba M
24 İ. Akdağ M
21 A. Diaby M
8 E. Çekiçi M
11 H. Akbunar M
99 E. Yardımcı F
Bench (10)
4 J. Vuković
9 G. Bitin
58 G. Kaya
34 Thuram
33 A. Öztürk
61 S. Asan
14 J. Rassoul
7 L. Kappel
13 M. Akça
35 B. Öğür

Coach: Ivo Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,38
U
3,51
B ✓
2,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Erdoğan · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.