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Süper Lig

Referee: M Erdoğan

Rizespor

T T T U S

1–0

Full-time

Karagumruk

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,75 xG 0,68

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 11

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rizespor 12. · Karagumruk 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+3	+5.0	6
2	Hatayspor	3	1	2	0	+4	+0.7	5
3	Sivasspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.4	5
4	Konyaspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.2	5
5	Alanyaspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.4	5
6	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.7	5
7	Kayserispor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.6	5
8	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.6	4
9	Ad. Demirspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
10	Karagumruk	3	1	1	1	+1	-2.1	4
11	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
12	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
13	Trabzonspor	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.5	3
14	İstanbulspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
15	Ankaragücü	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.0	2
16	Antalyaspor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.5	2
17	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.5	2
18	Samsunspor	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.8	1
19	Buyuksehyr	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.0	0
20	Gaziantep	3	0	0	3	-5	-4.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
2	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.8	4
3	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.5	4
4	Kayserispor	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.6	4
5	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.3	3
6	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.8	3
7	Ad. Demirspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
8	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.8	3
9	Sivasspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.1	2
10	Antalyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	İstanbulspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
12	Ankaragücü	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
13	Besiktas	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
14	Rizespor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
15	Hatayspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
16	Karagumruk	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
17	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
18	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
19	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
20	Pendikspor	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hatayspor	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
2	Sivasspor	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
3	Karagumruk	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
4	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
5	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
6	Rizespor	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
7	Pendikspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
8	İstanbulspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
9	Konyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
10	Kayserispor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
11	Ad. Demirspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
12	Alanyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
13	Galatasaray	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
14	Kasimpasa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
15	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
16	Samsunspor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.5	1
17	Antalyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
18	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
19	Trabzonspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.3	0
20	Gaziantep	2	0	0	2	-3	-4.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.